I just joined my first FFPC Best Ball Tourney draft of the season and decided to outline a few Values and Fades using my rankings, FFPC scoring, and FFPC ADP. Below you will find one player at each position that I’ll be targeting at ADP, along with one player I’ll be fading.

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Note: Rank vs. ADP gaps based on 4for4's FFPC rankings against current FFPC ADP (8/17).

Quarterback

Value: Brock Purdy (FFPC ADP: QB13, 4for4 rank: QB11)

Purdy has three straight seasons inside the top 10 in fantasy points per game (QB5, QB10, QB6), and he's still the 13th quarterback off the board. Losing Ricky Pearsall for the year certainly hurts, but the 49ers responded by signing Deebo Samuel, and rookie De’Zhaun Stribling is a “baller,” per his quarterback. In a format where we can wait on quarterback, load up on skill players, then get great production out of a committee, Purdy is a prime target.

Fade: Kyler Murray (FFPC ADP: QB17, 4for4 rank: QB19)

I don’t hate him at his ADP, but I’m not likely to have too much Murray this season. He’s productive when healthy, but count the red flags. He has missed an average of 6.8 games per season over the last four years, and his Vikings camp has been described as up-and-down at best. He won the job partly because J.J. McCarthy didn't take it, and McCarthy is still waiting in the wings if Murray struggles or gets dinged up again. QB17 isn't an outrageous ADP, but we're paying for rushing upside attached to a player who doesn’t have a history of durability.

Running Back

Value: Jacory Croskey-Merritt (FFPC ADP: RB40, 4for4 rank: RB34)

The efficiency was real. As a rookie, Bill ranked 10th in rushing yards over expected per attempt and 15th in yards per carry, and he enters camp as Washington's likely starter. Yes, the Commanders brought in Rachaad White (and Jerome Ford), but White is not known as an efficient runner. He's a passing-down complement, not a threat to the JCM’s carries. We're getting a starting running back on a good offense at the price of a backup. In the RB40 range, we're mostly drafting for hope; JCM is one of the few players there with an actual role.

Fade: Tyrone Tracy (FFPC ADP: RB43, 4for4 rank: RB47)

The vibes in Giants camp are not good. Tracy is already splitting work with Cam Skattebo, he blew a pass block and nearly got Jaxson Dart decapitated, and now the Giants are kicking the tires on Najee Harris, who has been decent (but not great) in pass protection throughout his career. If Harris signs, this becomes a three-way committee where Tracy's touches are the most likely to shrink.

Wide Receiver

Value: Chris Godwin (FFPC ADP: WR40, 4for4 rank: WR33)

The injury discount has overshot. Godwin is healthy, was a standout during OTAs, and is locked back into the coveted slot role that made him a target machine for years. This is a guy with four 1,000-yard seasons on his resume, going 40th at the position in a full-PPR format. His ceiling perhaps isn't what it was in 2021, but at WR40 we're not drafting for upside. We're trying to find a productive WR3 with WR2 upside, and Godwin is that player.

Fade: Alec Pierce (FFPC ADP: WR39, 4for4 rank: WR45)

Nobody with the Colts will give us a straight answer on Pierce, and that should tell us something. March ankle surgery, a recovery window that's been revised more than once, a PUP stint to open camp, and a GM whose firmest commitment is that playing Week 1 is "the expectation." Even a fully healthy Pierce is a bit of a boom-bust deep threat, and he hasn't practiced yet on an offense that increasingly runs through Tyler Warren and Josh Downs. I’m not drafting Pierce at his current ADP.

Tight End

Value: Tyler Warren (FFPC ADP: TE4, 4for4 rank: TE3)

The other side of the Pierce injury coin. Warren went 76-817-4 as a rookie, made the Pro Bowl, and now Michael Pittman and his target share are gone. In 12 games with a healthy Daniel Jones, Warren was on pace for 82-969-5.6, which would have been good enough to be the overall TE2 last year, as a rookie no less. The offense is being built around him, Josh Downs, and a wideout coming off ankle surgery. In FFPC's TE-premium scoring, a 100-target tight end fantasy gold, and Warren has a live path to 120. If he makes the leap to the McBride/Bowers tier, this pick will win us some money.

Fade: Colby Parkinson (FFPC ADP: TE33, 4for4 rank: TE36)

Parkinson had a great 2025, but Terrance Ferguson is the tight end the Rams are invested in, the one getting first-team reps with Stafford in camp, and the one everyone in the building expects to break out.