NFL Week 1 Picks 2026: Spread Bets, Super Locks & Survivor Pool Cheatsheet

Sep 09, 2026

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2026 NFL Week 1 Spread Picks, SUPER LOCKS & Survivor Picks | Cust Corner: Seasonal Theme Parks

Mayo, Geoff Feinberg, and Tim Anderson give their 2026 NFL Week 1 game picks against the spread, debate early lines, run through Super Locks and Survivor strategy and selections. Plus, dive into a special edition of Cust’s Corner about Seasonal Theme Parks and sidewalk bridges. Also, three new cases for Judge Cust.

NFL Week 1 Spread Picks, SUPER LOCKS & Survivor Picks | Cust Corner: Seasonal Theme Parks

NFL WEEK 1 PICKS CHEATSHEET

MAYO: SEA -3.5, SF +3.5, TB +3.5, DET -6.5, NYJ +2, IND +3, ATL +3, CHI -2.5, JAX -7.5, BUF -1, MIA +3.5, GB +1, PHI -4.5, ARZ +10, DAL -2.5, DEN +2.5

GEOFF: SEA -3.5, SF +3.5, TB +3.5, DET -6.5, NYJ +2, IND +3, PIT -3, CAR +2.5, CLE +7.5, HOU +1, MIA +3.5, MIN -1, PHI -4.5, ARZ +10, DAL -2.5, KC -2.5

CUST: SEA -3.5, SF +3.5, CIN -3.5, DET -6.5, NYJ +2, IND +3, PIT -3, CAR +2.5, JAX -7.5, BUF -1, LV -3.5, GB +1, WAS +4.5, LAC -10, DAL -2.5, KC -2.5

THE COIN: SEA -3.5, SF +3.5, TB +3.5, DET -6.5, TEN -2, BAL -3, PIT -3, CAR +2.5, CLE +7.5, HOU +1, MIA +3.5, MIN -1, WAS +4.5, ARZ +10, DAL -2.5, KC -2.5

2026 RECORD (LAST SEASON RECORD)

MAYO: (120-144)
GEOFF: (139-125)
CUST: (141-123)
COIN: (127-137)

SUPERLOCK

MAYO: CHI -2.5
GEOFF: DAL -2.5
CUST: WAS +4.5

SURVIVOR PICK

MAYO: JAX
GEOFF: LAC
CUST: LAC

CUST “FREE MONEY” PICKS

6-POINT TEASER: DET -0.5 / JAX -1.5 / NYJ +8 / WAS +10.5

Cust’s 2025 Record: 3-17
Cust’s Lifetime Record: 32–168

Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings

Mayo and Ian Hartitz break down the 2026 NFL Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings by position, debate key start/sit questions, preview survivor strategy, and pinpoint the best early betting and DFS targets.

Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings: STARTS, SITS, SLEEPERS & BUSTS

FULL UPDATED WEEK 1 RANKINGS LISTS BY POSITION

NFL TEAM WINS DRAFT

If you missed it (weird), many are calling the Win Totals draft show the best PME episode of the year. I’m inclined to agree. If you haven’t checked this one out, it’s a fantastic starting point for the 2026 NFL season. It’s a Hall of Fame performance from Cam Stewart.

NFL WIN TOTALS DRAFT 2026!!! Predictions, Season Long Bets & Judge Cust Ruling

Draft Results

Cam: Ravens, 49ers, Cowboys, Saints, Buccaneers, Browns
Geoff: Rams, Chargers, Texans, Vikings, Colts, Jets
Pat: Bills, Broncos, Bengals, Falcons, Giants, Raiders
Cust: Seahawks, Chiefs, Jaguars, Bears, Commanders, Titans
Rob: Lions, Eagles, Patriots, Packers, Steelers, Panthers
Jared (Undrafted leftovers): Dolphins, Cardinals

Wednesday & Thursday Night Football PICKS

Noonan and Conner Allen from 4for4 joined me to break down the two opening games of the season. You can get full props inside the show.

NE at SEA INJURIES

NE: TreVeyon Henderson is out for the Pats. Christian Barmore is in.

SEA: Ty Okada is ruled out with a hamstring injury. The big one, however, is Nick Emmanwori. Reports make it seem like he’s more OUT than IN, and with 10 more days off if he sits, I wouldn’t expect to see him. Tory Horton (hears a WHO???) is questionable, but he wasn’t really going to factor in anyway.

NFL Week 1 Opening Night Best Bets: Patriots at Seahawks Spread Picks, Total & Player Props

Most numbers have adjusted since we did all the shows with the incredible amount of money coming in on the opener over the past day. Here are the latest top EV props (as of Wed am) from Sharpstack for the game. As markets get expanded, expect these to be in flux all day. Or, if you just want to fire at live props, there’s a NEW feature on Sharpstack to pile all live odds into one place to help you find the best numbers as quickly as possible. I have 9 remaining 50% OFF coupons for Sharpstack if you wanna give it a try. Just use code “MAYO50” for 50% OFF!!!!

50% OFF ANY 4FOR4 TOOLS PACKAGE: BETTING, DFS & SEASON-LONG WITH CODE “MAYO50”. 9 50% OFF COUPONS REMAIN

SF at LAR (in Australia) INJURIES

LAR: Aaron Donald didn’t travel with the team and is OUT. Myles Garrett (knee) hasn’t been practicing but is expected to play. Puka is fine.

SF: Evans, CMC, and Kittle have all been limited but are currently expected to play. The only one with any real doubt is Kittle, but it would seem odd to bring him to Australia and not play him. However, in true 49ers injury-cursed fashion, DT Alfred Collins suffered a torn patellar tendon in practice and is OUT for the season.