TL;DR Week 15

Dec 18, 2021
TL;DR Week 15

It's no secret we produce a ton of weekly data-driven, actionable fantasy football content designed to help you win your weekly matchup or cash your DFS lineups and bets. We also know not everybody has the time to read thousands upon thousands of words every week. With that in mind, this weekly TL;DR column is meant to highlight a few can't miss stats, facts, or analyses, broken down by category (season-long, DFS, betting), to aid in your weekly research prep.

TL;DR Season-Long Week 15

  • In the last two weeks, Amon-Ra St. Brown has posted 10-86-1 (12) and 8-73 (12) lines, while Josh Reynolds has 3-70-1 (5), 4-69 (7) and 3-52 (5) in his last three games. (Full Article)
  • The Panthers are 0-3 since Cam Newton took over, failing to reach 300 yards of total offense in two of those games, while Newton’s 69.0 on-target% is a not-nice 41st out of 42 qualifying quarterbacks. (Full Article)
  • Jake Elliott has posted 14+ fantasy points in three of his last four outings. The Eagles are five-point home favorites, with a decent implied team total of 24.25 points against Washington. (Full Article)
  • The Houston Texans' defense as a whole is bad but is at their worst against RBs (25th). The Texans have allowed at least 100 rushing yards in four straight games to opposing backfields. (Full Article)

All Week 15 Season-Long Content.

TL;DR DFS Week 15

  • Diontae Johnson's 11.2 targets per game over the last six weeks trails only Kupp in that span and the 4for4 Breakout Receiver Model gives Johnson the seventh-most expected points among wide receivers over his last three games. (Full Article)
  • Marvin Jones Jr. has run most of his routes on the left side, so he'll match up on Desmond King for most of the day. King is allowing a 72.7% catch rate and has given up 549 total yards, resulting in 1.8 fantasy points per target. (Full Article)
  • Zach Ertz ($5,300) is coming off of a seven-target game and gets the Lions who rank 20th in aFPA to tight ends. When playing at home, the Lions' defense has allowed the 10th-most passing yards and passing touchdowns per game. (Full Article)
  • Chase Claypool has gone over 53 receiving yards in three of his past four games. The Tennessee Titans have allowed two or more receivers to eclipse 53 yards in the same game eight times this season. (Full Article)

All Week 15 DFS Content.

TL;DR Betting Week 15

  • New England’s defense is nightmare fuel for shaky opposing passers. They rank third in passing defense DVOA, largely because they excel at getting after the quarterback, ranking fourth in adjusted sack rate. (Full Article)
  • The Jets have lost 10 straight division games—the longest streak by any AFC East team since the introduction of eight divisions in 2002. That’s tied for the longest streak in any division in the last five seasons. (Full Article)
  • Tee Higgins has seen three straight games over 110+ yards, but more importantly, he’s seen 100+ air yards in six of his last seven games. (Full Article)
  • The Titans have also continued to lean on the running game, even without Derrick Henry. Since Week 9 (their first game without Henry), Tennessee has a -5% pass rate over expectation and a 43.6% neutral-script pass rate. (Full Article)

All Week 15 Betting Content.

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