• Kyler Murray
  • QB
  • , Arizona Cardinals
  • 23
  • 207 lbs
  • 5' 10"
PtsPaYdsPaTDIntRuYds
281.337222012544

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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Murray will start immediately in Arizona, so the playing time will be there. He'll have Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk and a few good rookie prospects (Andy Isabella, Hakeem Butler, KeeSean Johnson) to throw to, so the receiving corps isn't bad either. I use a regression model to generate a starting point for rookie quarterbacks and Murray comes in with the highest projected touchdown percentage, the highest projected yards per attempt, the third-highest projected rushing yards per game and the fourth-highest projected rushing touchdowns in the 42-player sample. His passing numbers (in the same system at Oklahoma) were eerily similar to Baker Mayfield's and Murray is a much better runner. Keep this fact in mind—since 2011, the four top scoring rookie quarterbacks were Cam Newton (706 rushing yards, 14 touchdowns), Robert Griffin III (815 yards, 7 touchdowns), Dak Prescott (282 yards, 6 touchdowns) and Russell Wilson (489 yards, 4 touchdowns), so being able to run will really help Murray’s chances to find fantasy success as a rookie. If the offensive line improves, Murray will have a shot at QB1 numbers.

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Scouting report

by Brandon Niles

ARI QB Kyler Murray - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 at Los Angeles Rams

Kyler Murray was held to just 118 yards and a touchdown against the Seahawks last week, although he did add 40 yards on the ground. The Cardinals ran the ball effectively and led for virtually the whole game, giving Murray very little motivation to throw much. He’s been inconsistent throughout the year, at times showing brilliance, while being hesitant and looking overwhelmed at other times. His continued development will be something to watch eagerly next season, and he’d like to go out on a high note this week after winning his last two games.

The Rams rank 11th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks this season and they just held Jimmy Garoppolo to 248 yards, a touchdown and two picks last week, so this won’t be an easy matchup for Murray. He struggled against the Rams just four games ago, throwing for 163 yards and an interception, although he did run in a touchdown in a lopsided defeat. Murray’s questionable hamstring and difficult matchup make him risky to start in the championship, despite his ground production providing a nice floor for him in most weeks. If you can find someone healthier and in a good matchup, it might be wise to look elsewhere. We have him as a fringe-starter this week.

2019 Strength of Schedule - ARI
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
30
DET
1
@BAL
13
CAR
11
SEA
25
@CIN
5
ATL
31
@NYG
16
@NO
21
SF
15
@TB
21
@SF
BYE12
LAR
2
PIT
22
CLE
11
@SEA
12
@LAR

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats
WkOppCompAttPaYdsPaTDIntYPAYPRRuAttYdsTDFumYPCPtsSnaps%
1DET2954308215.7010.62313004.3321.689/89100.0%
2@BAL2540349008.7213.9634001.3314.460/60100.0%
3CAR3043173224.025.77869008.6217.875/75100.0%
4SEA2232241017.5310.95427106.7516.363/63100.0%
5@CIN2032253007.9112.651093109.3025.477/77100.0%
6ATL2737340309.1912.591132002.9128.869/69100.0%
7@NYG1421104004.957.431028002.807.065/65100.0%
8@NO1933220006.6711.58213006.5010.146/4993.9%
9SF17242412010.0414.18534006.8021.057/57100.0%
10@TB2744324317.3612.003380012.6726.870/70100.0%
11@SF2433150204.556.25867108.3826.769/69100.0%
12BYE---------------
13LAR1934163014.798.58428107.0013.364/64100.0%
14PIT2030194236.479.7062000.3310.060/60100.0%
15CLE1925219118.7611.53856007.0016.461/61100.0%
16@SEA1118118106.5610.73640006.6712.737/6953.6%
17@LAR2642325227.7412.5020020.0013.063/6892.6%
Per game21.8133.88232.631.250.756.8710.665.8134.000.250.135.8517.5864.06/66.5696.26%
Totals349542372220126.8710.6693544425.85281.281025/106596.26%