TL;DR Week 6

Oct 16, 2021
TL;DR Week 6

It's no secret we produce a ton of weekly data-driven, actionable fantasy football content designed to help you win your weekly matchup or cash your DFS lineups and bets. We also know not everybody has the time to read thousands upon thousands of words every week. With that in mind, this weekly TL;DR column is meant to highlight a few can't miss stats, facts, or analyses, broken down by category (season-long, DFS, betting), to aid in your weekly research prep.

TL;DR Season-Long Week 6

  • Hunter Henry has turned into the primary pass-catching tight end for the Patriots. He has 15 catches in the last three weeks and has scored in consecutive games. The Cowboys have given up significant games to Evan Engram (4-55), Zach Ertz (4-53-1), Dallas Goedert (2-66) and Rob Gronkowski (8-90-2) already this year. (Full Article)
  • This Sunday, Trevor Lawrence could further negate the impact of the Dolphins' pass rush with his legs; after only three rushing attempts through the first two weeks, he has accumulated 21 attempts for 91 yards over the previous three contests. (Full Article)
  • If there’s one thing I’m sure of, it’s that a monster game is coming for Stefon Diggs in the extremely near future. The Bills continue to rank top-12 in pace of play and pass plays per game, and they rank second in the NFL in points scored per play. Diggs ranks fifth in the NFL in targets per route run, and second in deep targets and total air yards. (Full Article)
  • D'Andre Swift is currently your league leader in total high-value touches on the season and is averaging 7.2 HVTs per game, only second to Christian McCaffrey. Despite frustrations that Swift isn't getting a full RB1 workload after Dan Campbell said that he wanted to get him the ball more often, Swift has been efficient enough to be considered an RB1 for the rest of the season. Even with Jamaal Williams being a thorn in the side of Swift's managers, Swift has doubled Williams up in targets and is RB7 on the season with an average of 18.2 PPR points per game. (Full Article)

All Week 6 Season-Long Content.

TL;DR DFS Week 6

  • Through the first five weeks of the season, the Seahawks have allowed at least one receiver to go for over 100 yards in four of those games. Deebo Samuel and Robert Woods have each gone for over 150 receiving yards against the Seahawks in the last two weeks. Chase Claypool is averaging five receptions per game for 82.25 yards and .25 touchdowns on 8.75 targets per game. (Full Article)
  • Five tight ends have topped double-digit fantasy points against K.C., as their defense allows an average of 6.2 receptions and 93.2 receiving yards per game. (Full Article)
  • This game will feature some of the highest rostered rates of the week but it’s a spot that’s worth leaning into while being contrarian elsewhere in your lineup. Both teams have implied totals of at least 24 with Kansas City projected to score almost 31 points, the highest mark on the slate. Those numbers may not be high enough. Every team has exceeded their implied total against the Chiefs this year and four of five teams have gone over against Washington—combined, the two teams have allowed opponents to score 81 points over their implied total. (Full Article)
  • Carson Wentz impressed on Monday Night Football against the Ravens. The Colts' offense clicked and his connection with Michael Pittman looked top-notch. Pittman currently owns a 25% market share of targets and a 37% market share of the Colts’ air yards. His first touchdown of the season came against the Ravens last week which gives him a touchdown rate of 20% and an expected touchdown rate of 40%. This indicates that with his usage he should be scoring more touchdowns. I like buying low on touchdown variance in Week 6. (Full Article)

All Week 6 DFS Content.

TL;DR Betting Week 6

  • The Bengals are coming off a tough overtime loss to Green Bay, but a matchup with Detroit is just what the doctor ordered for a Cincinnati bounce-back. The Lions rank 27th in overall DVOA and 29th in defensive DVOA. They’ve lost their five games so far by an average of eight points as a result. With Joe Mixon still nursing a high-ankle sprain, this matchup is the perfect opportunity for the Bengals to air it out early to build a lead, then salt the game away as necessary against Detroit’s 28th-ranked run defense. (Full Article)
  • The Chargers have allowed the third-most receiving yards to the position, while 30 of the 38 tight targets thrown against them have been caught. With the Ravens' running game a shell of itself and the defense legitimately bad, it’s easy to project the Ravens to continue emphasizing the pass. (Full Article)
  • The Raiders have beaten the Broncos in seven of their last 11 meetings with the Broncos and are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games versus Denver. The underdog has also cashed in five of the last six meetings between these two teams. (Full Article)
  • Offensively, Buffalo is fourth in points per drive, seventh in EPA per play and top-10 in both rushing and passing success rate. If you cherry-pick and cross off the Week 1 matchup against Pittsburgh, they're second in offensive EPA since Week 2. They're playing fast in every game state, and are second overall in situation neutral pace. This is a great matchup against a Titans defense that's anywhere from 22nd-27th in my key defensive metrics, creating mismatches for the Bills at every position. (Full Article)

All Week 6 Betting Content.

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