Top DFS Stacks on FanDuel and DraftKings: Week 16

Dec 24, 2020
Top DFS Stacks on FanDuel and DraftKings: Week 16

Stacking players is a stairway to the top of daily fantasy tournaments, maximizing upside by creating the sort of volatility that can help your roster post a crooked score—one way or another.

Below are some of the most intriguing stacking plays I found while sifting through the week's matchups. Most of these options will leave room for high-ceiling studs. The goal, naturally, is to get a lot for a little. So let's get into it.

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Philadelphia Eagles (-2) @ Dallas Cowboys; O/U 49.5

QB Jalen Hurts, Eagles ($8,200 FD/$7,000 DK)

RB Miles Sanders, Eagles ($7,300 FD/$7,000 DK)

WR CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys ($6,000 FD/$5,300 DK)

It somehow feels wrong to tout Hurts. He’s the newest fantasy football cheat code taking on a bottom-dwelling defense. What’s not to like?

But I’m going to go ahead and tout Hurts as a stacking option alongside Miles Sanders—a potentially unique Week 16 stack as DFS players flock to Dallas Goedert and other Philly pass-catchers (Goedert plus Sanders and Hurts would make for a volatile Eagles mega-stack). Sanders has proven viable along with Hurts through the rookie’s first two starts: Sanders in Week 14 had 19 opportunities (five targets and 14 rushing attempts) in a 33-point outing thanks to a long touchdown. In Week 15, Sanders saw 17 carries and two targets. His quiet 10 points against the Cardinals could keep DFS players off the Eagles running back in Week 16 tournaments, even though he’s taking on a Dallas defense allowing almost 25 schedule-adjusted PPR points to backs.

Hurts, meanwhile, is the Eagles’ second-leading rusher since taking over for Carson Wentz. He has 29 carries over his two starts, just two fewer than Sanders. Hurts’ expected rushing points sits at a hefty 15.5 through two games. Like I said, a cheat code. He doesn’t even need a massive passing stat line to have a monster week, but he could easily have just that against a Cowboys defense that last week gave up 29 fantasy points to 49ers quarterbacks.

You could run back with any Dallas receiver (or Tony Pollard, if Ezekiel Elliott is out again). I chose CeeDee Lamb because of his Week 16 price point and the Eagles’ defensive performance against opposing slot receivers. Lamb, who has run 93.5% of his routes from the slot in 2020, will see plenty of coverage from Nickell Robey-Coleman, who has allowed 33 receptions on 40 targets this year. Lamb has averaged 7.4 targets per game in Any Dalton starts this season. Running it back with Lamb banks on the Cowboys not being in position to establish the proverbial run and take the air out of the ball. I think that’s a good bet.

LA Chargers (-3.5) @ Denver Broncos; O/U 48.5

QB Justin Herbert, Chargers ($8,200 FD/$7,400 DK)

RB Austin Ekeler, Chargers ($7,000 FD/$7,600 DK)

WR Keenan Allen, Chargers ($8,000 FD/$7,500 DK)

You could always throw a Denver wideout in here, or perhaps Noah Fant, who’s seen a solid target share now that he’s fully healthy and playing a full complement of snaps. But I’m more interested—as you can see—in the LA side of the ball.

Keenan Allen will have had 10 days of rest by the time this game kicks off. The hope is that he’ll be fully recovered from the hamstring issue that held him out for most of Week 15’s game against the Raiders. You may have heard Allen had dominated targets this season; he had a 28% target share through Week 14. Last time Allen faced the Broncos, he caught nine of 11 targets for 68 yards and a score. Herbert, meanwhile, threw for 279 yards, three scores, and two picks when these teams met in Week 8. The rookie QB has as high a ceiling as any signal-caller in fantasy thanks to the Chargers’ pass-heavy ways. No team averages more passing attempts (40.2) per game.

Ekeler, coming off a so-so performance in which he saw four targets and 13 carries, should get back to his target-gobbling ways against Denver. He struggled through a quad injury in Week 15’s game against the Raiders—he should be OK for this week. Ekeler was on injured reserve last time these teams played. In that game, LA running backs combined for 10 catches on a whopping 14 targets. Pass-catching specialists like James White and Mike Davis have had success against the Broncos defense this season. Ekeler could have a signature PPR stat line in this one.

Chicago Bears (-7.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars; O/U 48

RB David Montgomery, Bears ($7,800 FD/$7,700 DK)

TE Tyler Eifert, Jaguars ($4,600 FD/$3,000 DK)

There’s lots of chalk to be greedily eaten this week. Montgomery is among the chalkiest. As a workhorse back against a lifeless Jacksonville defense being gouged by enemy runners every week, Monty should be in for another big outing.

Only three running backs have a higher share of their team’s total opportunity (rushes plus carries) through Week 15, and the Jaguars allow the third most schedule-adjusted points to running backs. Teams are building big leads against the Jags and establishing the run harder so hard, Joe Judge thinks it’s a little much. Almost 48% of plays against Jacksonville’s defense have been rushing attempts, the third-highest rate in the league. Montgomery, who sports the fifth-highest projected ceiling of the week—per 4for4’s floor and ceiling machine—will push for 20 touches even if the Jags find a way to keep this one close. Monty’s touchdown equity can’t be overstated.

It’s tough to find a legit run-back option in an offense as horrid as the Jaguars. Nevertheless! Chicago’s defense has given up plenty of production this season to tight ends while largely limiting opposing wideouts. Almost 25% of targets—or 8.3 targets per game—against the Bears in 2020 have gone to tight ends. Eifert is (by far) the primary route runner and pass catcher among Jacksonville tight ends. He had three grabs for 51 yards last week in a tough matchup against the Ravens. The Jags being forced into a point-chasing, pass-heavy game script against Chicago could generate a solid number of targets for Eifert, who is dirt cheap on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

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