• Ezekiel Elliott

  • RB
  • , Dallas Cowboys
  • 26
  • 225 lbs
  • 6' 0"
PtsRuYdsRuTDRecRecYds
172979652338
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Elliott had a down year by his standards, finishing No. 11 in half-PPR with the No. 16 per game average. Since he did struggle with injuries, there are some who wonder if he’s starting to decline. He turns 26 years old this summer, so I wouldn’t worry too much about that, especially since he was the No. 4 running back through the first four weeks while Dak Prescott was still healthy. In fact, in the 21 games over the past two seasons with a healthy Prescott, Elliott has generated 18.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR). That would have been the fifth-highest production at his position last season.

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Scouting report

by Jeff Hicks

DAL RB Ezekiel Elliott - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Like the majority of the Cowboys' offense, Ezekiel Elliott is happy to see Dak Prescott back under center. Prior to Dak’s Week 5 season-ending injury, Elliott was seeing a minimum of 20 touches per game and collected 120-plus total yards in three of four contests. Zeke also saw at least six targets in three of five games Dak started and was on the field no fewer than 76.8% of Dallas’ offensive snaps. The 26-year old remains a dual-threat on offense and will have success behind a healthy offensive line and with a quadrant of receiving options keeping opposing defenses honest.

Fantasy Downside

His touch and yardage total changed with Andy Dalton and Ben DiNucci under center. And as much as it is easy to say injuries happen, another injury to Prescott would result in a shock to the Cowboys' offense. Elliott has also seen his yard per carry drop in three consecutive seasons. While YPC is not a dependable statistic year-over-year, it is a concern to see a mid-20's feature back declining. Zeke will also lose rushing and receiving downs to backup Tony Pollard. Elliott did not play Week 15 and Pollard took advantage, collecting 18 total touches with six coming through the air. Pollard’s nine targets in Week 15 were the third-most by a Cowboys running back in 2020. Pollard averaged 0.30 more yards per carry despite the same quarterback and offensive line issues. Elliott saw 143 more rushing attempts than Pollard last season, a concern for 2021. A lot of this would be solved by an improved Cowboys defense. Dallas’ strength of schedule is concerning as well. The Cowboys' offense as a whole has four games against top-five defenses according to 4for4’s Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed. They also have one more against a top 10 unit. Zeke has seven games against top 10 rushing units.

2021 Bottom Line

The return of Dak Prescott and the majority of the Cowboys starting offensive line provides hope for Elliott, but a difficult schedule, elite passing options, and one of the best handcuff running backs in fantasy lurk as caps to his ceiling. Zeke projects as an RB1 with the upside to be one of, if not the top fantasy running back in 2021.

2021 Strength of Schedule - DAL

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
1
@TB
17
@LAC
9
PHI
15
CAR
18
NYG
21
@NE
BYE23
@MIN
22
DEN
3
ATL
24
@KC
30
LV
2
@NO
7
@WAS
18
@NYG
7
WAS
19
ARI

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

Game Stats

WeekOppRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRSTDPPRSnaps%
1@LAR2296104.363311410.3324.727.763/7287.5%
2ATL2289114.05633075.5016.222.276/8292.7%
3@SEA1434102.436240124.0011.817.880/8297.6%
4CLE1254014.50871088.8812.520.563/8276.8%
5NYG1991204.791140214.0022.523.554/6681.8%
6ARI1249024.088310113.884.012.054/8960.7%
7@WAS1245003.7516026.005.16.137/5666.1%
8@PHI1963003.321100210.007.38.362/7978.5%
9PIT1851002.83218039.006.98.947/7265.3%
10BYE--------------
11@MIN21103004.90211125.5017.419.446/6669.7%
12WAS1032013.2017037.001.92.939/5966.1%
13@BAL1877004.28418064.509.513.550/7963.3%
14@CIN1248004.00211035.505.97.932/5162.7%
15SF--------------
16PHI19105005.53434048.5013.917.937/7052.9%
17@NYG1442103.00319046.3312.115.147/8257.3%
Per game16.2765.270.400.334.013.4722.530.134.876.5011.4514.9152.47/72.4771.93%
Totals244979654.01523382736.50171.7223.7787/108771.93%
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