• Zack Moss

  • RB
  • , Buffalo Bills
  • 24
  • 0 lbs
  • 0' 0"
PtsRuYdsRuTDRecRecYds
8848141495
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
As a rookie, Moss finished No. 45 at his position while playing 13 games. Devin Singletary played a full season and finished No. 34. They averaged 7.3 and 7.8 PPG (half-PPR), respectively. As a team, the Bills backfield averaged the third-fewest points per game (16.1), so it’s hard to get too excited about either player. Josh Allen is basically the team’s goal-line back, and with Moss and Singletary splitting the work, it cancels out the value of both players. Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic broke the season’s numbers down further, arguing that Moss’s injuries impacted the backfield landscape. In eight “all things equal” games–i.e. Moss wasn’t injured or in the dog house due to a fumble; I think he’s talking about Weeks 7-10, Week 12 and Weeks 14-16–he out-snapped Singletary 294 to 262 and averaged 11.6 touches for 58 yards and 0.50 touchdowns. Conversely, Singletary averaged 10.0 touches for 57 yards and 0.13 touchdowns. Buscaglia suggested that these splits indicate that Moss is ahead of Singletary in the team’s eyes and argued that the team’s decision to trade up to draft Moss in 2020 potentially signaled how they felt about Singletary all along. The bottom line–if Moss can earn a 65% share of this backfield, he would likely finish as a solid fantasy RB2, but that’s far from a sure thing.

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Scouting report

by Chris Kucharski

BUF RB Zack Moss - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
In his first season, Zack Moss showed signs of being a quality NFL running back. Even though he split carries for Devin Singletary, he seemed to gain the Bills' confidence more as the season went on. He rushed for 481 yards and had 95 receiving yards. Although Singletary had more total touches, Moss missed three games and their touch rate was the same. Buffalo seemed to favor Moss in short-yardage situations including goal-line opportunities where he had the most carries on the team.

Fantasy Downside
The Bills don't seem interested in having a full-time featured back. They were happy with the combination of Moss and Singletary. What this means is Moss' fantasy outlook will be affected by the lack of touches and that will keep him down the fantasy rankings. Even with Moss being the short-yardage back, QB Josh Allen had half the rushing touchdowns for Buffalo.

2021 Bottom Line
Expect Moss to increase his carries and receptions, but not to the point where he will have a major fantasy impact. His ADP shows him going much higher than the predicted numbers dictate. He should rush for over 500 yards and double his receiving output. However, we expect Moss to still split time with Singletary which makes him depth for your team. Don't reach to get him in the 9th-10th rounds. If he falls past those rounds, he will give you some decent depth as your fourth or fifth running back.

2021 Strength of Schedule - BUF

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
6
PIT
11
@MIA
7
WAS
31
HOU
24
@KC
28
@TEN
BYE11
MIA
29
@JAX
14
@NYJ
10
IND
2
@NO
21
NE
1
@TB
15
CAR
21
@NE
3
ATL

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

Game Stats

WeekOppRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRSTDPPRSnaps%
1NYJ911001.22316145.338.711.739/8744.8%
2@MIA837004.6200000.003.73.728/6145.9%
3LAR--------------
4@LV--------------
5@TEN--------------
6KC510002.0000000.001.01.013/5324.5%
7@NYJ747006.71325038.337.210.235/7447.3%
8NE1481205.7900010.0020.120.131/5853.4%
9SEA918102.002300215.0010.812.838/6855.9%
10@ARI720002.861-302-3.001.72.739/7353.4%
11BYE--------------
12LAC959006.5629024.506.88.837/6259.7%
13@SF39003.0015015.001.42.411/7315.1%
14PIT1343003.3100010.004.34.344/7558.7%
15@DEN1381006.2300000.008.18.134/7346.6%
16@NE1257104.7510010.0011.712.736/7250.0%
17MIA38002.671130113.002.13.118/6428.1%
Per game8.6237.000.3104.291.087.310.081.386.796.747.8231.00/68.6944.88%
Totals112481404.2914951186.7987.6101.6403/89344.88%
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