Wilson has three Top 3 finishes in the last five years, but the Seahawks’ run-heavy ways have made Wilson’s scoring heavily dependent on his ability to throw touchdowns. His 8.2% touchdown rate was the seventh highest since 2000. Patrick Mahomes was one of the seven, so excluding him, the other five quarterbacks experienced a drop of 34.7% in their touchdown rate, which would put Wilson at 5.3%, well below his career average of 6.0%. I feel comfortable penciling in Wilson for another 29-30 passing touchdowns, but unless the Seahawks increase his passing volume (unlikely, from the sound of it) or he runs more frequently, he’s going to have a tough time posting Top 5 numbers.
Nov 22, 2019 · 7:16 PM EST