Chalkboard Week 18 Player Prop Bets Article

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What is Chalkboard?

Chalkboard Fantasy Sports is a mobile app where you pick “higher” or “lower” on player stat lines, stacking two-to-eight picks for payouts that can climb to about 5,000× your entry. You can play real-money DFS in eligible states or switch to a free sweepstakes mode, and built-in chatrooms let you share picks with friends. Extra options like Max Cash for high upside and Shield Play for pick insurance let you dial up or down the risk.

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Every week, I’ll be posting a few of my favorite plays in this article with brief write-ups of each play. I’ll use this space below to recap the previous week and share any thoughts or takeaways I have going forward.

Week 17 Recap

Lower volume week on chalkboard, but it was another green week nonetheless!

We went 2-1, and the first win was Stafford over 21.5 completions. I bet this expecting the Rams to lean heavily on the pass and pour it on against an inferior opponent. That assumption couldn’t have been more wrong. The Rams trailed wire to wire, and at one point, it even looked like they might pull Stafford and punt the game. Fortunately, they stuck with him, and he got there late in true sweat-inducing fashion. Given how the game actually played out, it’s honestly surprising this bet was ever close.

The second win was Tlaw over 32.5 pass attempts. Tlaw is playing amazing football as of late and the Colts are one of the biggest pass funnels in football, this was a no brainer bet. Lastly, the Ewers' over 29.5 pass attempts was a loss that never really came close. The Dolphins game was a strange one—I expected the Bucs offense to find success against Miami’s weak defense and push Ewers and the Dolphins into a pass-heavy script. Instead, the Bucs struggled all game, allowing Miami to control things from start to finish.

Week 18 NFL Bets

Kirk Cousins UNDER 31.5 Pass Attempts

In the Falcons' four wins with Cousins as the starter this year, they're sporting a very low -6.1% PROE in those games, and last week against the Rams, they posted their lowest PROE of the season. The Saints have been surging with their rookie QB Tyler Shough, but losing another and their best weapon in Chris Olave will most likely shake up their offensive plans. Despite their Week 12 showdown combining for a whopping 133 plays, Cousins still only attempted 23 passes. The Falcons are 3-point home favorites, and I expect them to be able to deploy their extremely run-heavy attack with Bijan and Allgeier and do what they've been doing for a couple of weeks now, and that is to control and slow down the pace of the game.

Trevor Lawrence OVER 241.5 Pass Yards

The Titans’ defense is allowing the highest PROE in the NFL. In their Week 12 matchup, Tennessee’s offense scored just three points, yet despite zero resistance from the Titans, Trevor Lawrence still finished with 16/27 for 229 yards. In a divisional rematch, you’d expect the Titans to at least put up a bit more of a fight. Lawrence has also been red-hot lately, averaging 20.7 completions on 33.7 attempts for 279 yards per game in December. I expect him to carve up this Titans secondary, which was just torched for 300-plus yards by Tyler Shough last week. With the Jaguars needing a win to take the division, I expect them to empty the clip in this one.

Trey Lance UNDER 174.5 Pass Yards

Denver is giving up just 192 passing yards per game and has routinely held weaker quarterbacks to extremely low totals (Ward 112 yards, Fields 45 yards, Mills 137 yards, Geno 143 yards, Oladokun 66 yards). The Broncos boast one of the league’s top defenses, and I expect them to make life miserable for Lance. While Lance remains largely unproven as an NFL passer, he is a legitimate threat with his legs, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see Greg Roman try to muddy this game with an extremely run-heavy approach. Even on dropbacks, I expect plenty of off-script scrambles, along with an increased number of designed runs for Lance.

Keaton Mitchell OVER 18.5 Rush Yards

Keaton has logged 8, 9, and 9 carries over his last three games, and after how effective Baltimore was on the ground last week against a playoff-caliber opponent in Green Bay, I expect them to lean heavily on the run again. Pittsburgh has been vulnerable to opposing backs at times, but this play is more about volume than efficiency. Any back consistently seeing 6+ carries shouldn’t be priced at 18.5 yards, especially someone as explosive as Keaton, who’s averaging 5.9 yards per carry this season.

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