Week 6 NFL Player Props: Vivid Picks

Oct 13, 2023
Week 6 NFL Player Props: Vivid Picks

Last week, we went 3-2 in this column! I luckily had 3 of the winners in a single slip, so we will look to build on that momentum heading into Week 6! For those who are new, Vivid Picks is a simple fantasy sports game where you pick multiple players to go over or under their assigned line.

Even if you already bet or play other DFS-style pick-em games, Vivid Picks offers a few unique selling points:

  • Using our code (4for4sub) gets you a $250 deposit bonus and $25 secured play. If you lose your first bet up to $25, you get $25 in promo funds to play again with.
  • For every bet you get right, you automatically get 10% of your stake back in free plays. So if you bet $100 on a 5-leg play, and only win four of them, you still get $40 back in promo funds which can be used on your next play.
  • Users can boost each other's plays up to 0.5X if they all tail each other. Each person tailing your play boosts it 0.1x up to 0.5x total.

If you haven’t signed up, you can do so here with our exclusive code “4for4sub.”

Each week, I’ll be posting a free article with a few of my favorite plays of the week, some reasons why, and what I would play each leg to. If you enjoy my reasoning and want 15+ official plays each week, snag yourself a betting subscription for as low as $5! Also, join our FREE Vivid Picks Discord.

Week 6 NFL Vivid Picks Plays

Zay Flowers over 57.5 receiving yards

Flowers is the Ravens' clear #1 wide receiver at this point, racking up a 28% target share along with 31% of the team's air yards. He now draws a salivating matchup against the Titans. I don't expect this to be an easy game for Lamar by any means, as the Titans have shown the propensity to gameplan to get pressure against teams that can't handle it, and Lamar has some of the worst splits under pressure in the league. With that being said, when they don't get pressure, Lamar is going to absolutely carve them up. The Titans' pass defense is 26th in EPA/Play, and if they don't get pressure, are allowing a 78% completion rate and 8.3 yards per attempt.

The Titans are allowing an AVERAGE of 7 receptions for 92.8 receptions to opposing WR1's and, through five games, have allowed eight wideouts to clear 54 receiving yards and six to clear 80 receiving yards. We are going to sprinkle some overs on a ladder as well.

Joe Mixon under 62.5 rushing yards

The Seahawks have played stellar run defense so far, allowing just 2.6 yards per carry to opposing running backs. Through four games, they haven’t allowed a running back to hit over 58 yards, and that includes 16 carries from David Montgomery, 15 from Kyren Williams, and 22 from Cam Akers. On top of this, the Bengals have skewed massively pass-heavy in neutral game scripts so far, with Joe Burrow continuing to regain his mobility.

Ryan Tannehill under 208.5 passing yards

The Titans play against the Ravens, who have been really strong on a per-play basis against the pass so far, ranking 2nd in EPA/Play, 2nd in success rate, and first in explosive pass rate allowed. They run into a Titans team that may be without Treylon Burks again and has struggled at passing against good teams with fewer than 200 yards in both outings against top-10 pass defenses (CLE and NOR). Our projection has this at 193.5

Risk 1.10 units to win 1 unit

For the most up-to-date picks, check out my Twitter and join our FREE Vivid Picks Discord.

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