Monday Night DFS Single-Game Breakdown: Colts at Saints

Dec 16, 2019
Monday Night DFS Single-Game Breakdown: Colts at Saints

It's a must-win game for the Indianapolis Colts who find themselves as substantial underdogs as they travel to take on the New Orleans Saints, who are fighting for the top seed in the NFC and the home-field advantage that comes with it. Vegas expects the game to be a blowout, but surely the Colts won't go down easily. Michael Thomas might be the most owned player we've seen on a single-game slate this season, and while he's worth it, we're going to discuss potential ways to leverage his ownership situation.

Let's break down the game and how we can find the edge that might get us at the top of the leaderboards.


  • No significant injuries for New Orleans
  • T.Y. Hilton, IND, WR - Questionable

The status of T.Y. Hilton is the only news to keep an eye on. If he plays, it's a boost for the Colts offense in general but a downgrade for the likes of Zach Pascal and Marcus Johnson. We are currently projecting him to sit, but he is a game-time decision so this is news you'll need to keep an eye on.

Evaluation of Vegas Spread and Total

New Orleans -10 Over/Under 46.5

Vegas expects the home team Saints to easily handle the visiting Colts and I tend to agree with them. Let's look at the likely game flow given this spread and total and assign some probabilities to each potential outcome.

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