• Michael Thomas

  • WR
  • , New Orleans Saints
  • 26
  • 212 lbs
  • 6' 3"
PtsRecYdsRecTDRecRuYds
22617259149-9
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Thomas followed up a No. 6 finish in 2018 with a No. 1 finish last season, outscoring the No. 2 receiver (Chris Godwin) by nearly 70 points in half-PPR formats. Thomas is the favorite to finish No. 1 again, though the arrival of Emmanuel Sanders is likely to put a slight dent in the 185 targets that he saw last season. Since 2000, there have been 18 receivers who have seen at least 180 targets and on average, the other 17 receivers saw their targets per game drop by an average of 18% the following year. That would put Thomas’s catches back in the 120-125 range if his catch rate holds. He’s still a solid pick in the first round, but owners shouldn’t expect another 149-catch season.

Latest news

Scouting report

by Bill Riccette

NO WR Michael Thomas - 2020 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

What more is there really to say about Michael Thomas? He was the No. 1 fantasy receiver by a wide margin over Chris Godwin in 2019, setting an NFL record with 149 receptions. He's arguably the best receiver in football (the players voted him as the best receiver and top-five overall on their top 100 list).

Fantasy Downside

The Saints actually have a legitimate second wide receiver opposite Thomas in Emmanuel Sanders. But that only means Thomas just won't hit 150 or probably even 140 catches, As our John Paulsen wrote in his draft notes: "Since 2000, there have been 18 receivers who have seen at least 180 targets and on average, the other 17 receivers saw their targets per game drop by an average of 18% the following year. That would put Thomas’s catches back in the 120-125 range if his catch rate holds. He’s still a solid pick in the first round, but owners shouldn’t expect another 149-catch season."

2020 Bottom Line

Thomas is a first-round pick. Period. Some may have him as the first receiver in fantasy, others may have guys such as Julio Jones or Davante Adams. Regardless, Thomas is going to be among the top of the list again, but he likely is going to be closer to the pack than he was in 2019.

2020 Strength of Schedule - NO

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
29
TB
27
@LV
16
GB
32
@DET
4
LAC
BYE14
CAR
3
@CHI
29
@TB
9
SF
21
ATL
13
@DEN
21
@ATL
23
@PHI
5
KC
26
MIN
14
@CAR

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats

WeekOppRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCSTDPPRSnaps%
1HOU1012301312.3000000.0012.322.359/6689.4%
2@LAR10890138.9000000.008.918.964/6598.5%
3@SEA5541710.8000000.0011.416.451/5887.9%
4DAL9950910.5600000.009.518.569/7197.2%
5TB1118221316.5500000.0030.241.264/7091.4%
6@JAX88901211.1200000.008.916.965/6698.5%
7@CHI913101114.5600000.0013.122.173/7893.6%
8ARI1111211110.181-900-9.0016.327.368/7689.5%
9BYE--------------
10ATL1315201411.6900000.0015.228.266/6995.7%
11@TB811411114.2500000.0017.425.457/7081.4%
12CAR1010111110.1000000.0016.126.158/6687.9%
13@ATL648088.0000000.004.810.840/5080.0%
14SF1113411512.1800000.0019.430.470/7297.2%
15IND1212811210.6700000.0018.830.848/6771.6%
16@TEN1213611711.3300000.0019.631.661/7087.1%
17@CAR437099.2500000.003.77.746/6966.7%
Per game9.31107.810.5611.6311.580.06-0.5600-9.0014.1023.4159.94/67.6988.35%
Totals1491725918611.581-900-9.00225.6374.6959/108388.35%
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