T.Y. Hilton was up and down last season and often hobbled, but he finished reasonably strong. He was the WR14 in total fantasy points from Week 10 on last year and has continued to produce, despite being nicked up and suffering from inconsistent (at best) quarterback play for much of the last three seasons. Hilton re-signed over the offseason, so he must think he still has a role, and the Colts didn’t really add any pass catchers, so the most likely scenario remains that Hilton leads the team in targets. He’s being slept on a bit due to his age and perceived down year, but Hilton can still produce.
Maybe Hilton’s diminutive frame is breaking down. He’ll turn 32 in November and he’s missed at least one game in each of his past three seasons. Also, he’ll be breaking in another new quarterback after taking half a season to get accustomed to Philip Rivers last year. If Carson Wentz stinks, Hilton declines due to age, and young receivers Michael Pittman and Parris Campbell take the steps the team is hoping for, Hilton could easily struggle to put up solid fantasy numbers.
2021 Bottom Line
Hilton was the WR40 last year despite struggles with Rivers early in the season and nagging injuries, and he’s currently going as the WR54 in the 13th round. Even if he turns in the same disappointing season as last year, he’s still a value pick at this point. His range of outcomes may not be as wide as Pittman’s, but his potential to lead the team in targets again makes him well worth the low price tag as the fourth or fifth receiver on your roster.