• Sterling Shepard
  • WR
  • , New York Giants
  • 26
  • 194 lbs
  • 5' 10"
PtsRecYdsRecTDRecRuYds
11587246633

Full Season Projection

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  • $5000
  • 11.66
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  • $6000
  • 9.11
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  • $14
  • 9.11
  • -
  • $10400
  • 11.66
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
The Giants gave Shepard $41 million after signing Golden Tate to a deal worth almost $38 million, so it looks like this will be a 1a/1b situation in terms of targets, and since Tate is typically a high-target player, he could out-target Shepard this season. Shepard’s production certainly increased when Odell Beckham was sidelined. In 11 games over the last three seasons without Beckham, Shepard averaged 5.3 catches for 68 yards and 0.18 touchdowns. Those are low-end WR2 numbers and he would have some upside from there if he simply posted his three-year touchdown rate of 0.33 per game. That would make him a solid fantasy WR2. The primary issue is Tate and how many of Beckham’s targets he’ll soak up. Beckham averaged 10.4 targets per game in the last three seasons while Tate averaged 7.5 T/G in his last two seasons with the Lions. Shepard averaged 6.3 T/G with Beckham in the lineup and 8.5 T/G without. With the Giants likely to go run-heavy, will Shepard get enough volume to post fantasy WR2 numbers? He has been a solid fantasy WR3 with Beckham in the lineup and that’s about where he’s being drafted right now. The other red flag is that Eli Manning’s production is tailing off.

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Scouting report

by Brandon Niles

NYG WR Sterling Shepard - 2019 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Sterling Shepard had a modest season last year, catching 66 passes on 107 targets for 872 yards and four touchdowns. He also averaged 13.2 yards per catch, not bad for a slot receiver with that many catches, and more than Alshon Jeffery and Calvin Ridley. Shepard should benefit from the departure of Odell Beckham Jr., as he averaged 7.6 targets per game in 2017 when Beckham Jr. missed 12 games.

Fantasy Downside

Shepard hasn’t really lived up to expectations the past two seasons, despite getting significant opportunities to distinguish himself. Beckham Jr. has played in only half of his last 32 games and Shepard has still provided only modest production. After eight touchdowns his rookie season, he’s scored only six since, and the quarterback play isn’t likely to improve this year with Eli Manning back under center. Even if rookie first-round pick Daniel Jones takes over for Manning, there’s likely to be a learning curve. Shepard's injury in early camp may take time to heal, though he's unlikely to miss much time during the regular season.

2019 Bottom Line

For the price of an eighth-rounder, there should be a little more upside available than Shepard provides. His teammate Golden Tate is going a round later and should put up similar production. With a struggling offense and most of the fantasy hype going to Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram, Shepard seems like late-round value rather than mid-round production. His injury status should be monitored as well.

2019 Strength of Schedule - NYG
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
8
@DAL
5
BUF
29
@TB
17
WAS
3
MIN
22
@NE
10
ARI
14
@DET
8
DAL
32
@NYJ
BYE9
@CHI
21
GB
26
@PHI
31
MIA
17
@WAS
26
PHI

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats
WeekOppRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCSTDPPRSnaps%
1JAX548079.600000-4.89.861/7185.9%
2@DAL324058.000000-2.45.465/6895.6%
3@HOU6801713.330000-14.020.059/6295.2%
4NO10771107.700000-13.723.759/6295.2%
5@CAR4750718.750000-7.511.556/56100.0%
6PHI3370712.330000-3.76.763/6596.9%
7@ATL51670833.400000-16.721.759/6492.2%
8WAS434088.500000-3.47.467/7095.7%
9BYE--------------
10@SF29134.501270027.009.611.656/5994.9%
11TB2220211.000000-2.24.246/5386.8%
12@PHI437069.250000-3.77.757/6291.9%
13CHI428067.000000-2.86.858/7280.6%
14@WAS217168.500000-7.79.743/6467.2%
15TEN2370918.500000-3.75.765/65100.0%
16@IND61130718.831-300-3.0011.017.058/6589.2%
17DAL4670916.7519009.007.611.666/7193.0%
Per game4.1354.500.256.6913.210.192.060011.007.1611.2858.63/64.3191.27%
Totals66872410713.213330011.00114.5180.5938/102991.27%