Week 6 NFL Survivor Picks 2025

Week 5 turned out to be the carnage we were waiting for. Unfortunately, we found ourselves on the wrong side of the carnage this time. Lucky for those of us still in our assorted pools, we have a great partner to help us navigate the rest of the season. Using the tools we have available to us from our friends over at PoolGenius, we can look at this week with an eye towards the future to set ourselves up for success.

Week 6 Strategy

This is probably a week to go back to our roots and play it safe. The thing about these intense weeks where huge swaths of the pool are eliminated is that people tend to overreact in the following week. They think chaos begets more chaos. Year over year, though, we find that most weeks go according to plan, and we shouldn’t think that Week 5 being a disaster means that Week 6 will be, as well.

To be successful at survivor, you need to think about the following and adjust accordingly:

• Pool characteristics (size, rules, etc)

• Current remaining entries

• Personal risk tolerance

• Game theory (thinking of opponent choices and behavior)

The Chalk

Green Bay is a 14-point favorite at home against Cincinnati. If you have Green Bay available, this is a classic “don’t overthink it” week. Pool Genius is projecting that somewhere around 43% of the remaining entrants in pools will pick the Packers. They’re the highest EV pick of the week. While they do have some possible useful weeks coming up, we’re playing it safe this week and sticking with the Packers, who are facing off against a team that upgraded the quarterback position by trading for Joe Flacco in 2025.

Off The Beaten Path

Philadelphia and the Los Angeles Rams are the only other teams projected for double-digit popularity. They’re both on the road, and the Eagles have the triple whammy of being the road team on Thursday Night Football with a divisional matchup. By no means do I think the Giants have a prayer here, but I tend to avoid any of those three factors. When all three are present, I’m passing every single time. Denver travels to London to take on the only winless team left in the NFL. I’d rather avoid them, if possible, but if you’re looking to go off the board a bit, they’re probably the best option.

Official Picks

I’m going to give three picks and track how the season goes for each as if it were its own pool. Pool A is our conservative pool. Pool B is straying a little bit from the most popular options, but not going too far. Pool C will only be our “Off The Beaten Path” picks. Since that pool was eliminated, we’ll leave that marked off, but I’ll still give some alternative options in that section of the article.

• Pool A: (Used: PHI, BAL, SEA, BUF, Eliminated: KC)
• Pool B: (Used: ARI, DAL, TB, HOU, Eliminated: BUF)
• Pool C: (Used: WAS, LAR, Eliminated: Atlanta Falcons)