Splash Sports Survivor Picks Week 7: Circa Survivor & NFL Pool Plays (Texans over Giants)

Oct 21, 2026

Splash Sports Survivor Picks Week 7: ( Texans over Giants)

IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Between the Rams and Colts, 52% of the entries were ousted in the Splash Sports $21M Survivor World Championship pool.

My picks in this article went 4-1, with the Patriots, 49ers, Chiefs, and even my trap game Titans pulling out a win. The Rams were the only bad pick here.

With six teams gone, four teams on a bye, and pools getting smaller, Week 7 is an interesting one. There is just one double-digit favorite along with some quality options to choose from.

We have the assistance of Sharpstack's EV Tool to guide us through this process, highlighting the win percentages of each NFL team and the optimal path, plus the option of a custom one if you are feeling it.

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Here's a look at the whole board for Week 7, and I'll get into my favorite picks and traps below.

Favorite Favorites

Texans vs. Giants (-10)

Houston is likely the most popular choice this week, as they are the only team favored by more than a touchdown with win odds at 77.1%. Even better, this is the best remaining spot to use the Texans, as their future value isn't as high as some other options. Their pick rate is at 19.7%, so you'll win or lose with most of the pool.

Vikings vs. Colts (-6.5)

Another home favorite in a great spot this week is Minnesota. They are 68.5% favorites to win by 6.5 points. Many pickers used the Vikings in Week 4, so you could separate yourself there.

Value Favorites

Jets vs. Dolphins (-4.5)

This will also be a fairly popular pick at 12% of the pool, as the Jets are at home against a winless Miami team. It could be a bit trappy, but the line is currently 4.5 with a win percentage of 63.1%.

Traps (that are favorites)

Bears vs. Patriots (-3)

Chicago is a field goal favorite in this one at home, with a 58.8 win percentage. It's a Thursday nighter with New England on a three-game win streak, which adds to the trapiness. The Bears' best matchup is in Miami in Week 14, so use them now with caution.