Jake's Week 2 NFL Player Prop Bets

Every week, I’ll be posting some of my favorite plays that I released via Discord in this article with brief write-ups of each play. I’ll use this space up top to recap the previous week and share any thoughts or takeaways I have going forward.
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Week 1: 4-0, +$370
Overall: 4-0, +$370
75.66% ROI
Assumes betting to win $100 on a minus odds prop and risking $100 on a plus odds prop
Note: alts will not count toward the record (wins/losses) but will be included in ROI % and +/- $ totals
Week 1 Recap
The greatest sports league in the world was finally back this past week, and Week 1 was a great start to the season. We went 4-0 last week with all four bets being relatively sweat-free. Tillman was tied for second on the team in targets with eight, and seeing that many targets, a 34.5 receiving line is just too low. The Browns could not run the ball at all, and Flacco was forced to drop back a whopping 48 times, making his o21.5 completions bet and the Tillman over amazing.
Dissly u24.5 receiving yards is where we ran a little hot on as he out-routed Conklin 21-12, shutting down the narrative of them being a 50/50 split or leaning slightly towards Conklin. Regardless, Dissly was a win, and he was only targeted on 1/22 routes run. The fourth bet was Justin Fields u27.5 pass attempts. In a 34-32 game, Fields only dropped back 25 times, making this bet sweat-free. The Jets will be the most run-heavy offense in the NFL this season, and when Fields drops back, Jets OC Tanner Engstrand wants it to be as easy as possible for Fields, leading to a high completion % and fewer pass attempts.
Week 2 NFL Player Prop Bets
Joe Flacco OVER 240.5 Passing Yards (-112 DK, -114 FD/Builder 239.5 CZRs)
We played Flacco over 21.5 completions last week in a perfect matchup against a bad Bengals defense, and Flacco finished the game 31/45 for 290 yards, cashing our over sweat free. This week, I'm interested in Flacco again, but prefer yards against the Ravens. While the Ravens are definitely a tougher matchup than CIN, the Browns are 12.5 road dogs, so we should see a ton of Flacco dropbacks.
The Ravens had the number one rush defense in the NFL in 2024 and last week held James Cook to 44 yards rushing, while giving up 394 yards through the air. The Browns' run game did Flacco no favors last week as Ford and Sampson combined for 2 yards per carry on 18 attempts against a far inferior front seven. If Flacco is inefficient at the start of the game, the Browns will inevitably fall behind, leading to Flacco dropping back almost every play. I expect Baltimore to pull ahead by a wide margin relatively early, leading to the Ravens playing a soft prevent defense late in the game, which will give the Browns' offense free pass yards.
Risk to win 1 unit
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