2021 NFL Draft Bets: Denver's Pick, Rashod Bateman vs. Kadarius Toney
The NFL Draft prop market has been extremely volatile this year. Sportsbooks are posting odds on players and moving their lines within minutes. Here's a prime example... Yesterday, DraftKings Sportsbook posted Asante Samuel Jr. O/U 41.5. I mentioned in our subscribers-only Discord we should hit the under because other books have him at 35.5 or 37.5. He's a fringe first-round pick in most mock drafts with an EDP of 34 at Grinding the Mocks (Hat/Tip to Dan Rivera for alerting me of DraftKings posting this). Low and behold, within an hour, his line moved to 37.5. We also got on an exact order long-shot bet that I really like. Trey Lance, Kyle Pitts and Ja'Marr Chase to go 3-4-5 in the NFL Draft opened at +1600. It's nearly halved since then, lingering at +900. If you missed my initial post I would still sprinkle a little on it at +900.
2021 NFL Draft Resources: NFL Mock Draft | Top 150 Big Board | Team Needs & Draft Capital
I probably won’t have too many more in-depth write-ups leading up to the NFL Draft with books moving lines so fast and information crushing any potential value within a couple of minutes.
Before we dive in, here’s an update of all the action for the NFL Draft I personally have recommended either through articles at 4for4 or in the Discord:
| Date | Bet Location | Bet Type | Team/Player | Number | O/U | Book | Odds | Risk | To Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/10/2021 | 4for4 Site | Draft Position | Jaylen Waddle | 11.5 | O | FanDuel | 100 | 1 | 1 |
| 4/14/2021 | Discord | First DL Taken | Kwity Paye | BETMGM | -110 | 1.1 | 1 | ||
| 4/14/2021 | Discord | Draft Position | Ja'Marr Chase | 6.5 | U | FanDuel | -128 | 1.28 | 1 |
| 4/18/2021 | Discord | Draft Position | Landon Dickerson | 40.5 | U | PointsBet | 108 | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| 4/19/2021 | Discord | Draft Position | Micah Parsons | 11.5 | O | FanDuel | -110 | 1.1 | 1 |
| 4/19/2021 | Discord | Draft Position | Jaycee Horn | 13.5 | U | DraftKings | -112 | 1.12 | 1 |
| 4/19/2021 | Discord | Draft Position | Jaelan Phillips | 17.5 | O | DraftKings | -112 | 1.12 | 1 |
| 4/20/2021 | Discord | Draft Position | Jaylen Waddle | 11.5 | U | FanDuel | 108 | 0.96 | 1.03 |
| 4/21/2021 | 4for4 Site | Draft Position | Travis Etienne | 34.5 | U | DraftKings | -112 | 1.12 | 1 |
| 4/21/2021 | 4for4 Site | First RB Taken | Travis Etienne | DraftKings | 150 | 1 | 1.5 | ||
| 4/22/2021 | Discord | Draft Position | Jaelan Phillips | 25.5 | U | PointsBet | -115 | 1.15 | 1 |
| 4/22/2021 | Discord | Drafted First | Trey Lance > Kyle Pitts > Ja'Marr Chase | DraftKings | 1600 | 0.5 | 8 | ||
| 4/22/2021 | Discord | Draft Position | Penei Sewell | 5.5 | O | FanDuel | -156 | 1.56 | 1 |
| 4/23/2021 | Discord | Draft Position | Asante Samuel Jr. | 41.5 | U | DraftKings | -112 | 1.12 | 1 |
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