Monday Night DFS Single-Game Breakdown: Browns at 49ers
The undefeated San Francisco 49ers look to keep their perfect record intact hosting the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football. Are the 49ers for real? Which Browns team shows up tonight? The one that has looked dominant at times, or the one that looks like the same old Browns from years past. I'm going to break down the game from all angles to try and help you find the edge that will get you to the top of the lead.
Higgins practiced Saturday and is expected to play tonight. The more interesting and relevant injury news is that of Coleman, who head coach Kyle Shanahan stated is on track to play. That has a definite impact on the 49ers backfield and is a huge hit for the likes of Matt Breida and Raheem Mostert (and probably sends Jeff Wilson back to the practice squad). Keep an eye on the news, but I'm going to treat Coleman as playing for the purposes of this article.
Evaluation of Vegas Spread and Total
San Francisco -5 Over/Under 47.5
Man do I disagree with Vegas—the 49ers are being over-rated as a team with victories against two really bad teams and one mediocre team. I actually see the Browns coming in here and winning this game, so I'm going to include two probabilities. The first, the one based on the Vegas spread, and the second based on the Browns winning a close affair.
- Close, low-scoring game (<40 points) - 10% (20%)
- Close, average-scoring game (40-49 points) - 25% (40%)
- Close, high-scoring game (50+ points) - 20% (40%)
- Blowout for the home team, low-scoring game - 0% (0%)
- Blowout for the home team, average-scoring game - 25% (0%)
- Blowout for the home team, high-scoring game - 20% (0%)
- Blowout for the away team, low-scoring game - 0% (0%)
- Blowout for the away team, average-scoring game - 0% (0%)
- Blowout for the away team, high-scoring game - 0% (0%)
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