DFS Projected Ownership Analysis: Week 10

Nov 07, 2019
DFS Projected Ownership Analysis: Week 10

Leveraging ownership percentages is a crucial aspect of creating tournament lineups. In this article, I use the 4for4 metric GPP Leverage Scores to highlight players whose projected ownership is either too high or too low. You can get a complete explanation of how the metric works here, but in short, the leverage score takes projected ownership and compares it to an implied ownership. The projected ownership is the prediction of what percentage of lineups a particular player will be owned in. A player’s implied ownership is 4for4’s recommended ownership based on salary, point projection and positional scarcity, among other factors. Comparing the two ownership percentages can highlight players who 4for4 projections are higher or lower on relative to the field. Note that every position may not be included in each section.

Players to Be Overweight On

QB Brian Hoyer ($7,100 FD/$5,900 DK)/Jacoby Brissett ($7,600 FD/$6,000 DK) vs. Dolphins

As of this writing, it’s unclear whether or not Jacoby Brissett will test his sprained MCL against a hapless Dolphins team but this is a passing game to target no matter who is under center. Even with the uncertainty at quarterback, the Colts are projected for over 27 points against a Dolphins defense ranked 29th in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks. The offense didn’t skip a beat last week, with Hoyer throwing three touchdowns on just 26 attempts. With ownership slanted so heavily towards the top four or five options at quarterback this week, it’s unlikely either Colts passer will approach double-digit ownership—if Hoyer starts, that number could be well under 5%. If it is Hoyer, the cheap salary on FanDuel alone will lead to a unique lineup build.

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