Ownership Projections for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 1
Each week, 4for4 will project player ownership on FanDuel and DraftKings. This information will be important when constructing your tournament lineups because including a few productive players with low ownership is a key component to coming out on top in a large contest.
Predicting ownership is an especially difficult problem because, rather than trying to determine which players will overperform, we are trying to determine whether other people think they will overperform. We will continually update and improve our algorithm as the season goes on, but for Week 1, our estimates will be fairly coarse.
To make our estimates this week, we started with ownership numbers from GPPs that started on Thursday. FanDuel no longer makes lineups available after the Thursday game starts, but Fantasy Aces still does, and @TwoQBs on Twitter was kind enough to make that information available. Going forward, we will collect ownership data from Fantasy Aces ourselves for as long as the site permits.
After adjusting for differences in roster requirements and prices between the two sites, we came up with the estimates below.
|Player||FD %||DK %|
|Robert Griffin III||2||2|
The Most Accurate Projections Since 2010