FanDuel Week 10 GPP Breakdown

Nov 13, 2015
FanDuel Week 10 GPP Breakdown

Below, I'll focus on players I believe to be strong tournament plays based on multi-touchdown upside and low projected ownership. I won't blurb chalk plays (Tom Brady, Blake Bortles, Todd Gurley, DeAngelo Williams, Allen Robinson, Michael Crabtree, Tyler Eifert, and Stephen Gostkowski) -- they're all justifiable GPP options -- particularly Bortles, Gurley, Williams, Robinson, and Cobb -- but you won't take home big money by stuffing your entire lineup with chalk. Use chalk plays selectively, a few at a time, filling out the rest of your lineup with a few players likely to be low-owned who have that multi-touchdown upside, allowing you to differentiate from the field and shoot up the leaderboard.

As usual, I draw heavily from my Ownership Outlook column, and all the players I highlight below are players I believe you should have more exposure to than the field. Since who you fade can be just as important as who you play in a GPP, I've also added a "Fades" section at the end where I briefly highlight any highly-owned players I believe you should have less exposure to than the field, or no exposure to at all.

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Despite averaging 19.8 points per game this season (28th in NFL), the Redskins have a Vegas implied team total of nearly 25 points. This is an exploitable situation, as no member of the Redskins offense costs more than $6,500 (Kirk Cousins). The Saints defense has been so bad statistically, they essentially turn every opposing QB into '07 Tom Brady. New Orleans ranks 32nd in QB Rating (112.6), 31st in TD percentage (7.4), and 30th in passing yards per game (292.2), so it's not surprising they rank 32nd in QB aFPA. The way they've performed, they don't even deserve to rank in the top 32 (think about that one). Cousins's main target this season has been Jordan Reed ($5,800), who gets his turn to abuse the Saints' 32nd-ranked defense in schedule-adjusted points allowed to TEs. The Saints often put cornerback Brandon Browner in coverage on TEs. This is not because he's good, but rather because he's awful. They just don't yet have the stomach to bench a player they guaranteed $7.8 million to in the offseason in a classic overpay-for-a-player-on-a-Super-Bowl-winner mistake. DeSean Jackson ($6,000) has seen his price drop $1,100 since Week 1 despite not playing until last week. the Saints have allowed the most 40-yard passing plays and the second-most 20-plus yard passing plays in the league. Saints' emerging cornerback Delvin Breaux will likely shadow Jackson, and while Breaux has flashed upper echelon cover skills at times this season, it hasn't always translated into limiting opposing WRs statistically. He shadowed T.Y. Hilton in Week 7 and forced 11 incompletions, but stumbled twice on deep balls against the Colts and allowed Hilton to finish with a 4-150-2 line. The next week he shadowed Odell Beckham, who put up a 9-130-3. Reed was a popular play on Thursday, but seven QBs were owned more than Cousins, while Jackson was under four percent owned.

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