• Jared Goff

  • QB
  • , Detroit Lions
  • 27
  • 215 lbs
  • 6' 4"
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Week 2 Projection
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  • $5400
  • 15.48
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  • 14.75
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  • 14.75
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Scouting report

by Frank Ammirante

DET QB Jared Goff - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 at Packers

Goff was gifted with the perfect game-script in Week 1 against the 49ers, forced into catch-up mode with his team down multiple touchdowns. Goff performed well from a fantasy standpoint, completing 38-of-57 passes for 338 yards with three touchdowns and one interception, finishing as QB3 for the week. There's a good chance that we can see a similar game script with the Lions as 11-point road underdogs to the rival Packers.

The Packers are coming off an embarrassing 38-3 road loss to the Saints, so you can bet that they'll come out firing here on Monday Night in a smash spot for a bounce-back. This defense ranked 6th in aFPA allowed to quarterbacks last season, so there's a good chance that they put forth a better effort than what we saw last week, where they gave up five touchdowns on only 20 pass attempts to Jameis Winston. It's tough to recommend Goff as a streamer here because this defense is better than it showed last week.

by Frank Ammirante

DET QB Jared Goff - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. San Francisco 49ers

Jared Goff is in a really tough spot in his Lions’ debut against a 49ers defense that allowed 6.57 yards per attempt (3rd) along with the fourth-fewest aFPA to quarterbacks last season. While the team lost defensive coordinator Robert Saleh, they get back elite pass-rusher Nick Bosa and should be among the top units in the NFL. Goff has one of the worst wide receiving corps in the NFL with veteran Tyrell Williams and rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown, so it’s going to be tough against this defense.

The Lions are 7.5-point underdogs with an 18.75-point implied team total, making Goff an easy avoid this week. He’s only startable in 2QB or SuperFlex formats, where you’re just looking to use another starting quarterback. Goff will likely be forced to check it down to tight end T.J. Hockenson as well as running backs D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams in order to move the ball against this stingy defense. That means few big plays and scoring opportunities. Goff is one of the worst fantasy quarterbacks this week.

by Frank Ammirante

DET QB Jared Goff - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Jared Goff completed 370-of-552 (67%) passes for 3,952 yards (7.2 Y/A), 20 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions as well as 99 rushing yards on and four touchdowns on 99 attempts (1.9 Y/A). While he’ll no longer be in a quarterback-friendly scheme with Sean McVay, Goff now joins a Lions team with a porous defense. It’s likely that Goff will have to air it out in order to keep pace, especially since the Lions project to be playing from behind often as one of the worst teams in the NFL. Goff finished as QB22 in fantasy points per game last season, but this projected uptick in volume could help him ascend to the Top-18. We also have to consider that Goff will be playing behind one of the better offensive lines in the NFL. The Lions added blue-chip tackle prospect Penei Sewell in the first round to pair with tackle Taylor Decker and center Frank Ragnow. This could help create a consistently clean pocket for Goff. Having said that, this is a quarterback with a narrow range of outcomes with limited upside due to his uninspiring supporting cast and inferior offensive scheme.

Fantasy Downside
While tight end T.J. Hockenson and running back D’Andre Swift are certified studs on upward trajectories, the wide receiver room consists of journeymen Tyrell Williams and Breshad Perriman as well as fourth-round rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown. The Lions did not do enough to address the losses of free agent wide receivers Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones Jr. It’s going to be difficult for this team to make big plays downfield, which makes it likely that we could see Goff become a checkdown machine, peppering targets towards Hockenson and Swift. At the same time, the high volume should allow Goff to come relatively close to his current ADP. This isn’t a player who is at risk of losing his starting role, as the team’s backup quarterback is David Blough.

2021 Bottom Line

Goff is currently being drafted as QB31 (208.6 ADP) in Underdog fantasy leagues, which makes him a solid value at this price. While the Lions' offense will be inefficient, there will likely be enough passing volume for Goff to outperform his draft cost. At the same time, this isn’t a quarterback with a high ceiling. Goff is strictly a floor pick to help balance your roster, working well if you take a shot on an upside rookie quarterback who might not start until later in the season, such as Justin Fields and Trey Lance.

by Richard Mejia

LAR QB Jared Goff - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 at Seattle

Goff had a rough game last week against the New York Jets as he completed 23-of-34 passes for 209 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. In what should have been one of Goff’s better performances of the season against a porous Jets defense, Goff went full Jared “Goof” and could not lead consistent offensive drives which ultimately resulted in an embarrassing loss to the previous winless Jets.

Week 16 brings on the Seattle Seahawks who rank 20th in aFPA to QBs this season. Goff had his worst game of the season against Seattle during their Week 10 matchup where he threw 302 yards for zero touchdowns and one lost fumble. It will be hard to trust Goff with high stakes during championship week, however, if you must, he’ll be a low-end QB2 this week.

by Richard Mejia

LAR QB Jared Goff - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 vs New York Jets

Goff had a solid game last week against the New England Patriots as he completed 16-of-25 passes for 137, one touchdown and one interception while also posting 11 rushing yards for one score. This was a game where Goff’s services weren’t necessarily required as rookie Cam Akers broke out and ran wild as he accounted for 194 total scrimmage yards.

Goff has an excellent matchup this week and the New York Jets are ranked last in aFPA to QBs this season. Goff hasn’t been great this season, but his weapons coupled with this excellent matchup make him an enticing low-end QB1 in Week 15.

by Richard Mejia

LAR QB Jared Goff - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 vs New England

Goff rebounded nicely last from his disastrous Week 12 as he completed 37-of-47 passes for 351 yards, one touchdown, and also had one rushing touchdown against the Arizona Cardinals. This was one of Goff’s better passing performances of the season however, his fantasy managers must be disappointed that more touchdowns did not accompany all those passing attempts and yards.

Week 14 brings on a Thursday night showdown against the New England Patriots who are the top-rated team in aFPA to QBs this season. The Patriots’ unrelenting pressure and coverage have been trouble for QBs all season and there was no better example of this than last week as New England shutout the Los Angeles Chargers and limited QB Justin Herbert to 209 passing yards and two interceptions. This will be Goff’s most difficult challenge of the season and in the first round of the fantasy playoffs no less. Goff ranks as a low-end QB2 in this one.

by Richard Mejia

LAR QB Jared Goff - Week 13 Fantasy Football Outlook

strong>Week 13 at Arizona

Goff had by far his worst game of the season last week against San Francisco, as he completed 19-of-31 passes for 198 yards, two interceptions, and two fumbles. Yikes, what a nightmare scenario for fantasy managers counting on Goff for a late-season playoff push. Goff has not been particularly good this season, and in his last four games, he has been downright unusable in fantasy. During this stretch, he has a total of four touchdowns, with three of those scores in Week 11 against Tampa Bay, and has a total of 10 turnovers (six interceptions, four lost fumbles).

Week 13 brings a solid matchup for Goff as the Arizona Cardinals rank 22nd in aFPA to QBs this season. There really is nowhere but up for Goff as he should put up respectable numbers in this contest. At any rate, keep Goff firmly as a QB2 in this one.

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