Fantasy Football Buy Low, Sell High Week 10: Trade Targets (Sell Nico Collins)
Last week’s report card was one of the best of the season. Zay Flowers managed just 5.3 points in his first full game without Lamar Jackson, and his trade value has been cut nearly in half, from 179 to 96. Saquon Barkley ran 13 times for 22 yards, and his value fell from 90 to 71. Luther Burden, my suggested target in a George Pickens deal, finished as the WR7 again. And Zach Charbonnet handled 16 carries in his second game back, with his trade value jumping from 10.8 to 40. Not everything landed. Justin Jefferson caught just three of 11 targets, but his trade value actually rose. Tyler Warren’s dropped from 19 to 10.2. I’ll take that week.
Each week this season, I’ll be here to highlight the most notable players to Buy Low or Sell High, using and referencing the powerful tools and data on 4for4.com, including the Trade Evaluator. Don’t make a deal in your league without consulting this tool. Fantasy football managers are a fickle bunch. Sometimes, it only takes one week’s results to make us change how we value a player.
As thrilling as trading can be in fantasy leagues, it can also be really challenging. It’s the one aspect of the game that varies wildly from league to league. Drafting, setting lineups, submitting waiver picks. These are all pretty standard, but not trading. It is dependent on league settings, roster requirements, available players, and even the attitudes of your competitors. That means everything you’re about to read will need to be translated by you to fit your league settings. Do your best to adjust the advice to your own league and then join me for a weekly Discord chat for 4for4 subscribers, talking trades every Wednesday at 11:00 am EST.
As a baseline, this column will assume PPR scoring, passing touchdowns worth four points, and starting rosters with 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, and 1 FLEX, but you can adjust the configurations on the Trade Evaluator tool to fit your league exactly.
Sell High
D’Andre Swift, RB CHI
Swift has been a difference-maker for a lot of fantasy managers so far this season. He’s the RB8 overall, averaging 17.1 points per game, and he scored three touchdowns in Week 8. In each of the last three seasons, he never averaged more than 14.3 points per game. This is the best stretch of his career.
Look at how he’s doing it, though. Swift has scored 10 rushing touchdowns in nine games, and he’s averaging just 3.7 yards per carry. He also has only 29 targets all season. That’s a running back whose fantasy value depends almost entirely on finding the end zone. When he didn’t in Week 9, he ran 12 times for 31 yards and finished as the RB54.
The bigger concern is coming back from injury. Kyle Monangai is listed as questionable and should return soon. Before he went down, Monangai carried 30 times for 146 yards and two touchdowns in Week 4, finishing as the RB4. He’ll need time, and quite possibly some of those goal-line carries.
Swift’s trade value has climbed to 150, ranked 17th overall. Jonah Coleman (101) and Rico Dowdle (24), both in the Buy Low section, add up to 125. If your league mate will add a little more, turning one touchdown-dependent back into two ascending ones is a deal I’d make.
Nico Collins, WR HOU
Collins has been one of the most consistent receivers in fantasy for years. He finished as the WR8 last season and has averaged at least 15.0 points per game in each of the last three seasons. When he’s on the field, he produces.
That’s also the problem. Collins has missed time in each of the last three seasons, and he’s already missed two games this year. He played just 12 games in 2024 and 15 last season. And this year, the targets have been drying up. After drawing 10 and eight targets in his first two games, he’s seen seven, five, five, and four over his last four.
The Texans have more mouths to feed now. Tank Dell returned recently and finished as the WR8 last week. Kayshon Boutte caught two touchdowns and finished as the WR6. C.J. Stroud had his best game of the season as the QB2, and Collins was the third-best receiver on his own team. He still found the end zone, but on just four targets.
His trade value is 111, ranked 28th overall. Bhayshul Tuten (120) is right there, and he’s another one of this week’s buys. Collins for Tuten is the move.
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