Chalkboard Week 17 Player Prop Bets Article
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What is Chalkboard?
Chalkboard Fantasy Sports is a mobile app where you pick “higher” or “lower” on player stat lines, stacking two-to-eight picks for payouts that can climb to about 5,000× your entry. You can play real-money DFS in eligible states or switch to a free sweepstakes mode, and built-in chatrooms let you share picks with friends. Extra options like Max Cash for high upside and Shield Play for pick insurance let you dial up or down the risk.
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Every week, I’ll be posting a few of my favorite plays in this article with brief write-ups of each play. I’ll use this space below to recap the previous week and share any thoughts or takeaways I have going forward.
Week 16 Recap
Lower volume week on chalkboard, but it was another green week nonetheless!
Mayfield under 32.5 pass attempts played out exactly as expected. Tampa Bay leaned into the run against the run-funnel Panthers, posting their lowest PROE of the season. Even in a loss, Mayfield threw just 26 passes. The other win was Jefferson over 4.5 receptions. The Giants' defense is just putrid, and it was, as I expected, a good opportunity for the Vikings to get Jefferson more involved, which they did. Jefferson saw a similar target volume, but his catch rate obviously went up against a weak Giants secondary, and he caught six balls even with Brosmer coming in for a half.
Our last Chalkboard play was Kelce, and there's not much else to say other than my gosh, what a disaster by the Chiefs. I was expecting somewhat stable QB play with Minshew, but he looked awful. He got injured early, and then "Oladokun" came in, and the Chiefs were unable to get anything going through the air. Here's to hoping the positive results continue and we finish the season strong!
Week 17 NFL Bets
Trevor Lawrence OVER 32.5 Pass Attempts
Lawrence is playing the best football of his career and now draws one of the league’s biggest pass funnels in the Colts. Indianapolis allows the second-fewest yards per carry (3.8) while giving up the third-most pass attempts per game (37.2). Lawrence threw just 30 passes against Indy a few weeks ago, but that was largely due to Daniel Jones exiting early and the Colts getting blown out. With Rivers under center, Indianapolis is far more competitive, and I expect them to force Lawrence and the Jaguars to lean into the passing game.
Quinn Ewers OVER 29.5 Pass Attempts
In Ewers’ first start, Miami posted its second-lowest PROE of the season, yet he still threw the ball 30 times. Tampa Bay has allowed the third-highest PROE on the year, and in a largely meaningless game, it wouldn’t be surprising if McDaniel loosened the reins on Ewers a bit. With Tampa’s wideouts healthy again, this sets up as a get-right spot against a shaky Miami secondary that’s vulnerable to explosive plays—potentially accelerating the game and putting the ball in Ewers’ hands more often, much like last week against Cincinnati.
Matthew Stafford OVER 21.5 Pass Completions
The Rams may not control their own fate in the division, but this is still a must-win spot. They rank fourth in PROE on the season, and Stafford has gone over this number in six of his last eight games. Of course, Stafford’s ultimate goal is a Super Bowl, but with an MVP within reach for the first time in his accomplished career, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Rams stay aggressive through the air if they build a comfortable lead. I’ve released a Stafford over three times this season, and we’re a perfect 3–0 on those plays—let’s keep the streak alive.
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