NBA Player Prop Bets: Houston, We Have a (Steph Curry) Problem

Mar 20, 2023
NBA Player Prop Bets (March 20, 2023)

This last weekend was a brutal one in the NBA betting streets, but as the great Ted Lasso once said - “be a goldfish”. Just like the happiest animal in the world with a 10-second memory, it’s time for us to forget about the weekend and get back on track. My three favorite player props for Monday’s slate are outlined below.

Regarding the process behind the plays, the suite of tools that 4for4 offers are second-to-none. I use the NBA Splits Tool to break down injury impacts and lineup changes and the NBA Prop Stat Explorer to look at historical data for how the player performs relative to their prop and compare it to our in-house projection. Using these alongside the Player Prop Finder to shop for the best line, 4for4 makes betting on NBA player props a stress-free and fun process.

Now, let’s put the tools to use and get to today’s top player props.

Today’s NBA Player Prop Bets (March 20, 2023)

Domantas Sabonis Over 20.5 Rebounds + Assists (-122 at FanDuel)

Sabonis has coined the perception among NBA fans that he is “Jokic lite” given his playstyle and European descent, but his recent string of production makes it feel like putting him in anybody’s shadow is a massive discredit.

Over his last seven games, Sabonis has been on another planet, posting a 23.2% usage rate with a team-leading 18.1% rebounding rate and a team-leading 39.4% assist rate. These underlying metrics have translated directly into the box score, as he’s averaged 13.7 rebounds and 9.3 assists with four triple-doubles over that span.

The Jazz have strengthened their interior defense a touch with the growth of Walker Kessler. However, there are still too many holes in this defense that Sabonis should have no problem exploiting, as he’s posted 22 and 19 combined rebounds and assists in their two matchups earlier this season.

Risk: 1.22 units on FanDuel to win 1 unit (playable to -130).

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