NBA Player Prop Bets: Back Aboard The Tyus Train
The final weeks of the NBA season forge along with another six games on Tuesday, many of which carry significant play-in or playoff implications. My three favorite player props for the slate are outlined below.
Regarding the process behind the plays, the suite of tools that 4for4 offers are second-to-none. I use the NBA Splits Tool to break down injury impacts and lineup changes and the NBA Prop Stat Explorer to look at historical data for how the player performs relative to their prop and compare it to our in-house projection. Using these alongside the Player Prop Finder to shop for the best line, 4for4 makes betting on NBA player props a stress-free and fun process.
Now, let’s put the tools to use and get to today’s top player props.
Today’s NBA Player Prop Bets (March 28, 2023)
Tyus Jones Over 27.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110 at DraftKings)
Less than one week after we all deboarded the Tyus Jones train, we’re hoping right back on with Ja Morant listed as doubtful against the Magic on Tuesday. The sample sizes over the last two seasons without Morant active are large enough to pull confidence leans from, as Jones has been nothing short of phenomenal in the absence of their superstar point guard.
In 18 games without Morant this season, Jones has played over 33 minutes per game and has averaged 17.6 points, 7.9 assists, and 3.8 rebounds while seeing his usage rate spike from 17% to 20.3%.
While Orlando’s defense has improved as the season has gone on, they still rank 17th in points allowed per game (114.2) and allow the 10th most assists per game (25.9), as most of their defensive resistance comes in the interior and not at the guard position. With Morant out, this game should stay relatively close throughout, giving Jones a high minutes ceiling to cater to this over, too.
Risk: 1.10 units on DraftKings to win 1 unit.
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