Week 7 DraftKings & FanDuel Winning GPP Lineup Review

Oct 25, 2022
Week 7 Winning GPP Lineup Review

In this space each week, I will review the winning lineups from the DraftKings Millionaire Maker and the FanDuel Sunday Million. Analyzing top lineups can help to tease out lineup-building strategies and offer clues on how you could have landed on a similar team.

DraftKings Week 7 Millionaire Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership in DraftKings Millionaire Maker Winning Lineups, 2022
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 9.1% 14.2% 9.3% 27.1% 12.5% 11.2% 17.2% 7.9% WR 3.0% 111.5%
2 3.6% 10.4% 8.4% 21.3% 19.7% 14.4% 9.2% 6.3% WR 1.8% 95.1%
3 2.3% 16.0% 13.9% 16.9% 8.8% 5.6% 2.6% 1.4% WR 15.7% 83.2%
4 6.8% 38.0% 15.2% 15.4% 11.4% 5.7% 19.8% 6.1% RB 3.3% 121.7%
5 12.1% 14.1% 13.9% 27.0% 13.4% 7.5% 7.8% 9.6% RB 22.7% 128.1%
6 4.4% 12.7% 8.5% 14.7% 4.9% 3.2% 2.6% 2.4% WR 0.6% 54.0%
7 17.0% 46.7% 32.1% 15.4% 2.6% 2.1% 8.1% 21.4% RB 43.8% 189.2%
AVG 7.9% 21.7% 14.5% 19.7% 10.5% 7.1% 9.6% 7.9% 13.0% 111.8%

Cumulative ownership of the winning lineup was 189.2%, the highest for any winner dating back to Week 1 of 2019.

Since the beginning of 2019, the highest cumulative ownership in a winning lineup was 158.8%. There have only been two other winners in that span at or above 150%.

This is only the fifth winner in that span to have at least three 20%-owned players; it is the third with four players over 20%; it is the only winner with three players over 30%.

Stacks

Stacks Used in DraftKings Millionaire Maker Winning Lineups, 2022
Week Primary Stack Secondary Stack Third Stack Correlated Players
1 QB/TE RB/Opp WR WR/Opp WR 6
2 QB/WR/WR/Opp TE 4
3 QB/TE RB/Opp WR 4
4 QB/WR/WR/Opp RB/Opp WR/Opp TE 6
5 QB/WR RB/WR/TE WR/Opp WR 7
6 QB/WR/Opp RB 3
7 QB/WR/TE RB/Opp RB 5

Of the seven winning Millionaire Maker lineups this year, three have stacked two players with their quarterback, as this lineup did.

Dating back to Week 1 of 2020, 40 of 42 Millionaire winners have used a quarterback stack. This is only the sixth winner to use a double stack with no bring-back.

Four winners this year have used at least one mini-correlation and all of those lineups included at least one mini-stack with a running back.

Flex

For the third time all season and the third time in four weeks, the Millionaire winner flexed a running back. The other four winners flexed wide receiver.

In week 7, 54% of top-1% Millionaire lineups flexed running back compared to just 39% of the field.

Leverage

Parris Campbell provided direct leverage off of Alec Pierce, who carried the third-highest ownership among wide receivers.

The Chiefs game had the third-highest over-under on the slate but no player on Kansas City carried double-digit ownership. At $4,300, Mecole Hardman helped to build a unique studs-and-duds build in a week where no wide receiver under $4,900 projected for ownership above 10%.

FanDuel Week 7 Sunday Million Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership in FanDuel Sunday Million Winning Lineups, 2022
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 9.9% 17.7% 9.1% 17.4% 12.6% 6.2% 14.5% 1.2% RB 2.8% 91.4%
2 3.0% 7.9% 2.8% 9.9% 6.4% 5.9% 8.7% 0.5% WR 4.6% 49.7%
3 4.4% 15.0% 5.0% 15.6% 5.6% 4.2% 4.1% 1.9% RB 6.6% 62.4%
4 2.2% 31.2% 12.8% 11.7% 7.6% 7.6% 20.1% 3.9% RB 4.8% 101.9%
5 17.8% 17.4% 13.0% 22.7% 14.7% 0.9% 3.8% 6.3% RB 4.6% 101.2%
6 4.2% 29.8% 2.9% 13.7% 4.3% 4.0% 0.4% 0.7% WR 8.0% 68.0%
7 16.2% 25.1% 22.6% 17.5% 5.4% 4.0% 11.3% 16.0% RB 2.9% 121.0%
AVG 8.2% 20.6% 9.7% 15.5% 8.1% 4.7% 9.0% 4.4% 4.9% 85.1%

With cumulative ownership of 121%, this was the chalkiest lineup to win the Sunday Million this season. The average cumulative ownership for 2022 winners is 85.1%.

From 2019–2021, 22 of 52 Sunday Million winning lineups had cumulative ownership of 12% or higher.

Stacks

Stacks Used in FanDuel Sunday Million Winning Lineups, 2022
Week Primary Stack Secondary Stack Third Stack Correlated Players
1 QB/TE 2
2 QB/WR/WR/Opp TE RB/Opp WR 6
3 QB/TE RB/WR/DEF RB/WR 7
4 QB/RB/WR/TE/Opp WR RB/WR 7
5 QB/WR/WR RB/TE 5
6 QB/WR WR/TE 4
7 QB/WR/WR 3

Using a double stack with no bring-back and no secondary stack, the three correlated players used by this week's winner were the fewest by a winner since Week 1.

Since Week 1 of 2020, only three other winning lineups used less than four correlated players.

Flex

For the fifth time in seven weeks, the Sunday Million winner flexed a running back.

This was just the fifth winning Sunday Million lineup since the start of 2020 to use a double stack with no bring-back. Of the last 59 Sunday Million winners, 35 (59%) have rostered three running backs.

Leverage

Four Bengals projected for double-digit ownership. Playing a 5% Tyler Boyd lowered the overall ownership of an otherwise popular stack.

The Buccaneers had the third-highest cumulative ownership projection on FanDuel. With Christian McCaffrey no longer a Panther, D.J. Moore was set up for an expanded target share as leverage against a popular offense.

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