Monday Night DFS Single-Game Breakdown: Cowboys at Giants

Nov 04, 2019
Monday Night DFS Single-Game Breakdown: Cowboys at Giants

Divisional rivals face off on Monday Night Football as the 4-3 Dallas Cowboys look to remain atop the NFC East when they visit the 2-6 New York Giants. The Giants, losers of four straight, look to turn things around with the majority of their offense (sans Sterling Shepard) finally intact. Can they pull off the upset as home dogs?

Let's break down the game and how we can find the edge that might get us at the top of the leaderboards.

Injuries

Shepard was a late addition to the injury report, being ruled out yesterday while the Sunday games were taking place. His absence opens up some value in the form of Cody Latimer and is a boost for the production of one Darius Slayton, who immediately becomes one of my favorite plays of the contest. It's also a boost for the likely target shares for both Evan Engram and Golden Tate.

Evaluation of Vegas Spread and Total

Dallas -6.5 Over/Under 48.5

The Cowboys are not surprisingly large favorites against the Giants, but I think there are some scenarios where the Giants can make this a competitive game and I'll project it with that in mind.

  • Close, low-scoring game (<40 points) - 0%
  • Close, average-scoring game (40-49 points) - 25%
  • Close, high-scoring game (50+ points) - 25%
  • Blowout for the home team, low-scoring game - 0%
  • Blowout for the home team, average-scoring game - 0%
  • Blowout for the home team, high-scoring game - 0%
  • Blowout for the away team, low-scoring game - 0%
  • Blowout for the away team, average-scoring game - 25%
  • Blowout for the away team, high-scoring game - 25%
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