FanDuel Week 7 GPP Breakdown
One of the most common errors in GPP roster construction is treating all tournaments like they are the same. Too many times, DFS owners open up a tournament lobby and go into autopilot, never considering the stakes or the field size of the contest that they are participating in.
The default thought process for newer DFS players is to roster a handful of players that nobody is targeting. If you’re playing in a smaller field, this approach isn’t necessary. It isn’t as far-fetched for your cash game lineup to take down a contest with a couple hundred entries. Some slight differentiation and correlation may be in line, but oftentimes focusing on value will suffice for smaller-field games.
When trying to best a field of thousands, targeting unique players and lineup combination becomes much more important -- arguably more important than value or even player projections.
Don’t fall into the trap of entering the same tournament lineups into every contest that you play.
Andy Dalton $8,100 vs CLE - Cincinnati is favored by 10 at home and the Bengals have the highest relative implied point total of the week, projected to score 9.6 points over their PPG average. Cleveland allows the second-highest touchdown rate to quarterbacks and ranks last in red zone touchdown rate allowed via the pass.
Philip Rivers $7,800 @ ATL - This game features a 53 point over/under and Atlanta’s defense ranks in the bottom-10 in touchdown rate allowed through the air. Teams throw over 67% of the time against the Falcons in the red zone and Rivers is one of two quarterbacks with a red zone expected value over 60.
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