
Draft Note by John Paulsen
Sutton has become one of the more reliable volume producers at the position–back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons, back-to-back full 17-game campaigns, back-to-back finishes between WR9 and WR15. The consistency is real, even if the per-game averages (WR17 and WR28) reveal that he's compiling value through availability and touchdowns rather than dominance. His 84th-percentile ESPN CATCH score and the 69th-percentile contested catch rate speaks to his value as a ball-winner. The 29th-percentile YAC per reception and 35th-percentile ESPN YAC are consistent: Sutton is a boundary route-runner who wins at the point of the catch (13.3 aDOT, 13th-percentile slot rate) and doesn't create much after contact. He needs the volume and touchdowns to hold for the production to stay at WR2 levels. The complication for 2026 is Jaylen Waddle. Denver has zero vacated targets–the offense returns intact–which means Waddle's arrival compresses the existing target share rather than filling an existing hole. Sutton commanded 138 targets in 2025. How many of those shift to Waddle, who is a better route-runner, will determine whether Sutton finishes as a fantasy starter. Troy Franklin and Marvin Mims continue to develop secondary options and could push for larger roles as well. Sutton is turning 31 in October, which is not ancient but is the beginning of the zone where boundary receivers with limited YAC creation start to slow down. At WR39 with a late-round ADP, there's nothing wrong with the price for two straight 1,000-yard seasons, but 2026 will be a real test of that consistent production.
Courtland Sutton
- WR
- , Denver Broncos
- 31
- 216 lbs
- 6' 4"
- Southern Methodist
- 76
- 2
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Pete Sweeney on X
·Dec 23, 2025 · 1:08 PM EST
2026 Draft note
Sutton has become one of the more reliable volume producers at the position–back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons, back-to-back full 17-game campaigns, back-to-back finishes between WR9 and WR15. The consistency is real, even if the per-game averages (WR17 and WR28) reveal that he's compiling value through availability and touchdowns rather than dominance. His 84th-percentile ESPN CATCH score and the 69th-percentile contested catch rate speaks to his value as a ball-winner. The 29th-percentile YAC per reception and 35th-percentile ESPN YAC are consistent: Sutton is a boundary route-runner who wins at the point of the catch (13.3 aDOT, 13th-percentile slot rate) and doesn't create much after contact. He needs the volume and touchdowns to hold for the production to stay at WR2 levels. The complication for 2026 is Jaylen Waddle. Denver has zero vacated targets–the offense returns intact–which means Waddle's arrival compresses the existing target share rather than filling an existing hole. Sutton commanded 138 targets in 2025. How many of those shift to Waddle, who is a better route-runner, will determine whether Sutton finishes as a fantasy starter. Troy Franklin and Marvin Mims continue to develop secondary options and could push for larger roles as well. Sutton is turning 31 in October, which is not ancient but is the beginning of the zone where boundary receivers with limited YAC creation start to slow down. At WR39 with a late-round ADP, there's nothing wrong with the price for two straight 1,000-yard seasons, but 2026 will be a real test of that consistent production.
2026 Strength of Schedule - DEN
| W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 | W8 | W9 | W10 | W11 | W12 | W13 | W14 | W15 | W16 | W17 | W18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 @KC | 12 JAX | 18 LAR | 26 @SF | 14 @LAC | 3 SEA | 5 @ARI | 10 KC | 11 @CAR | BYE | 8 LV | 21 @PIT | 27 MIA | 19 @NYJ | 8 @LV | 6 BUF | 22 @NE | 14 LAC |
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
Game Stats
| Week | Opp | Rec | RecYds | RecTD | Tgts | YPR | RuAtt | RuYds | RuTD | Fum | YPC | STD | 0.5 PPR | PPR | Snaps | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | 6 | 61 | 1 | 9 | 10.17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 12.1 | 15.10 | 18.1 | 72/76 | 94.7% |
| 2 | @IND | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.6 | 1.10 | 1.6 | 45/58 | 77.6% |
| 3 | @LAC | 6 | 118 | 1 | 8 | 19.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 17.8 | 20.80 | 23.8 | 42/52 | 80.8% |
| 4 | CIN | 5 | 81 | 1 | 6 | 16.20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 14.1 | 16.60 | 19.1 | 69/81 | 85.2% |
| 5 | @PHI | 8 | 99 | 0 | 10 | 12.38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 9.9 | 13.90 | 17.9 | 70/74 | 94.6% |
| 6 | @NYJ | 1 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.7 | 2.20 | 2.7 | 48/60 | 80.0% |
| 7 | NYG | 6 | 87 | 0 | 10 | 14.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 10.7 | 13.70 | 16.7 | 76/81 | 93.8% |
| 8 | DAL | 4 | 67 | 0 | 6 | 16.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6.7 | 8.70 | 10.7 | 53/63 | 84.1% |
| 9 | @HOU | 1 | 30 | 1 | 6 | 30.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 9.0 | 9.50 | 10.0 | 58/63 | 92.1% |
| 10 | LV | 3 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2.4 | 3.90 | 5.4 | 53/61 | 86.9% |
| 11 | KC | 4 | 59 | 0 | 8 | 14.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5.9 | 7.90 | 9.9 | 57/62 | 91.9% |
| 12 | BYE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @WAS | 5 | 62 | 1 | 6 | 12.40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 12.2 | 14.70 | 17.2 | 57/70 | 81.4% |
| 14 | @LV | 6 | 62 | 0 | 10 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6.2 | 9.20 | 12.2 | 48/74 | 64.9% |
| 15 | GB | 7 | 113 | 1 | 10 | 16.14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 17.3 | 20.80 | 24.3 | 60/68 | 88.2% |
| 16 | JAX | 6 | 86 | 1 | 12 | 14.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 14.6 | 17.60 | 20.6 | 62/66 | 93.9% |
| 17 | @KC | 4 | 40 | 0 | 10 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.0 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 59/72 | 81.9% |
| 18 | LAC | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.5 | 1.00 | 1.5 | 46/59 | 78.0% |
| Per game | 4.35 | 59.82 | 0.41 | 7.29 | 13.74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 8.57 | 10.75 | 12.92 | 57.35/67.06 | 85.30% | |
| Totals | 74 | 1017 | 7 | 124 | 13.74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 145.7 | 182.7 | 219.7 | 975/1140 | 85.30% | |






