Marquise “Hollywood” Brown is coming off a wildly uneven rookie season, highlighted by big plays and some woefully terrible fantasy outings. However, advanced metrics show Brown may have been significantly better than the 584 yards and seven touchdowns on 46 receptions he put up last year. Sports Info Solutions shows him with only three drops and with a 92% catch rate on catchable balls. Brown will probably always be kind of a boom-bust prospect in any given week, but he’s more talented than a simple speed guy.
The Ravens are heavily invested in the run game. Last season, they led the league in both points per game and rushing yards per game, while finishing 27th in passing yards. If the Ravens continue to play in positive game script this year and continue to lean on the extremely talented legs of quarterback Lamar Jackson, that could limit opportunities for Brown and the rest of the Baltimore receiving corps. Additionally, Brown’s slight frame and injury history make him a bit risky. He missed two games in 2019.
2020 Bottom Line
Brown is being drafted in the late-seventh round of 12-team leagues, making him a little expensive compared to the other talent available. Brown is going to put up some big numbers, but the nature of the offense he’s in makes it likely he’ll have a few more stinkers as well. He had single-digit fantasy points in eight of his 14 games last year. He has added value in best ball formats because of his playmaking ability, but he should be thought of as a high risk/reward play each week, making him a borderline WR3 option in most leagues.
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