Robert Weintraub of Football Outsiders provides his look at the position: “Our game charters noted only 15 percent of Palmer’s throws as “deep” or “bomb.”
By contrast, noodle-armed Chad Pennington threw 19 percent of his balls deep or bomb in 2008 in a similar scheme. Palmer threw long 23 percent of the time in 2007. He saved his best play for clutch situations, as though recognizing that his arm had only so many throws in it.
Besides the comebacks, his third/fourth down efficiency was superb, 26.0 percent DVOA, and was even better in the red zone (51.3 percent DVOA). On the other hand, he tied for the league lead (with Brett Favre) in penalties for QBs with 11 — mostly delay of game calls. Our projections see a slight decrease in completion percentage, and an uptick in interceptions.
The depth behind Palmer is worrying. J.T. O’Sullivan is a sub-replacement level backup and Jordan Palmer’s main contribution to the team are his iPhone apps.”
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