Chalkboard Week 14 Player Prop Bets Article

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Chalkboard Fantasy Sports is a mobile app where you pick “higher” or “lower” on player stat lines, stacking two to eight picks for payouts that can climb to about 5,000× your entry. You can play real-money DFS in eligible states or switch to a free sweepstakes mode, and built-in chatrooms let you share picks with friends. Extra options like Max Cash for high upside and Shield Play for pick insurance let you dial up or down the risk.

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Every week, I’ll be posting a few of my favorite plays in this article with brief write-ups of each play. I’ll use this space below to recap the previous week and share any thoughts or takeaways I have going forward.

Week 13 Recap

We went 3-0 this week on Chalkboard, winning both NFL bets and the one NBA bet. Kirk under 2.5 receptions couldn’t have been easier — he didn’t even see a single target. Our other NFL win was Rachaad White under 34.5 rushing+receiving yards, which was also mostly stress-free. Bucky returned to his usual workhorse role on the ground, but Rachaad ended up with three catches for 22 yards on just 13 routes, adding a little late sweat to the play. The NBA best bet was Terrance Mann under 4.5 assists, and he finished with only one assist, making this basically as sweat-free as the Kirk bet.

Week 14 NFL Bets

Josh Allen OVER 27.5 Pass Attempts

The Bills–Bengals matchup carries a 53.5-point total, with Buffalo favored by 5.5. It’s rare to see a quarterback with such a low pass-attempt line in a game projected for this many points, especially when his team isn’t a heavy home favorite. Buffalo posted the third-lowest PROE in Week 13 as James Cook handled 32 carries for 144 yards and Ray Davis added 9 carries for 62, but this attempt line for Allen feels like an overreaction. The Bengals’ games rank third in total plays on the season, and they just ran an absurd 92 offensive snaps against the Ravens. We’ve got two elite quarterbacks facing two poor defenses, and I’m betting Cincinnati applies enough pressure to force Josh Allen into a heavier dropback load than expected. There’s also a chance Dalton Kincaid returns, which would only help the Bills’ passing attack.

J.J. McCarthy OVER 15.5 Pass Completions

Washington’s defense is borderline bottom-five in completion rate allowed at 67.56%, and they rank dead last in EPA per dropback. Only one quarterback has failed to clear 15.5 completions against them—and that was Tua, who threw just 20 passes. From Weeks 9–11, Washington posted its three lowest PROE marks, but coming out of the bye with McLaurin healthy, they returned to a faster pace and a more pass-heavy approach, which should allow opponents to run plenty of plays. JJ has been a mess and is coming off yet another injury early in his career, but this Commanders defense has been gashed all year. And Washington’s offense has proven it can score points and push other teams’ offenses.

Tee Higgins OVER 4.5 Receptions

With Burrow at quarterback last season, Tee averaged a little over six catches per game. Sportsbooks seem to be baking in the idea that he might be limited, giving plus money on over 4.5 receptions, but that doesn’t really add up—he missed last week with a concussion, an injury where you’re either fully cleared to play or you’re sidelined entirely. This matchup carries a huge total, and given how poor Cincinnati’s defense has been, the Bengals have essentially turned every week into a shootout.

AJ Barner UNDER 3.5 Receptions

The Falcons have quietly been one of the league’s best teams at containing tight ends, giving up the second-fewest targets per game (5.25), the second-fewest catches (3.58), and the fourth-fewest receiving yards (38.75). Barner typically sits in the 60–70% route participation range, and with Seattle entering as 6.5-point road favorites against a struggling Atlanta squad, there’s a strong chance the Seahawks won’t need to lean heavily on their passing volume this week.

Tony Pollard UNDER 52.5 Rushing Yards

Pollard draws a tough matchup against a Browns defense allowing the fewest yards per carry in the league (3.7) and just 0.49 yards before contact to running backs. He’s topped this line only three times in his last eight games (since Spears returned) and hasn’t ran more than 11 times in seven straight. Against a run defense this stingy, he’d need significant volume to get over this number.

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