Scott Smith’s Top Plays for UFC Vegas 115: Moicano vs Duncan

Apr 03, 2026
Scott Smith’s Top Plays for UFC Vegas 115: Moicano vs Duncan

The UFC Apex in Las Vegas plays host to a pivotal and prospect-heavy UFC Vegas 115 this Saturday, headlined by a lightweight crossroads bout between perennial contender Renato Moicano and surging finisher Chris Duncan. While the main event offers a fascinating grappler-versus-striker dynamic, the true depth of this card lies in its undercard, which features a wave of high-ceiling debutants and volatile veterans. We have a data-driven betting card that highlights several high-confidence parlay pieces and a few stay-away spots where the uncertainty is simply too high. Below is your comprehensive, simulation-driven guide to UFC Vegas 115.

Best Bets for UFC Vegas 115: Moicano vs Duncan

Chris Duncan to win (-152, DraftKings)

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