2023 NFL Win Totals: Los Angeles Rams
Over the weekend, DraftKings released their first run of NFL Win Totals. Off the top, let's quickly discuss futures. Betting on NFL Futures in March, or even in early September, isn't for everyone. Bankroll allocation is a tricky factor here. Depending on your bankroll or unit size, there are better options than tying up a percentage of your funds for 4-10 months. With that said, my goal is to get in good whenever possible. I want to pick off as many bad or stale lines as possible, regardless of the time of year or the bet type. The best approach for most casual bettors is to adjust your unit size a bit, especially this early in the process.
This first release of win totals from DraftKings comes before the draft, in the middle of free agency, and before the official schedule comes out. Naturally, some folks are hesitant to jump in without that information, and if that's you, I totally understand. My pushback to that would be, as soon as you have all that information, so does everyone else. That doesn't eliminate your edge, but it certainly reduces it.
Here's what we do know. We know each team's cap situation and when and where each team picks in the draft. You can use our sick team resources tool to comb through each team if you'd like. We also know who plays who and where; we just don't know the sequencing. The schedule matters, but more as a tie-breaker for me, something that would push a lean towards a bet, more so than something I'd solely use to determine a play or not.
I'm 33-9-2 (+43.96u) on NFL Futures over the past two seasons, mixing in team bets, award markets, and player props. Here's my first play for 2023.
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