USFL Week 10: Best Bets
This is the end, my friends. It is Week 10 of the USFL regular season and thus, the end of this column. We have had some great moments and look to end the season on a positive note. Through nine weeks, the picks in this weekly column are 17-11 (+2.14 units). We have battled juice the majority of the season, and the lack of player props has been a huge loss for bettors. That said, we have one more week to handle four meaningless games because the playoffs are set.
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Week 10 Best Bets
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Philadelphia Stars USFL Champions (+450 BetMGM)
This is the best number remaining. The Stars have shown throughout the season that their offense is elite and have improved defensively. The Birmingham Stallions are the only team with a better sack rate than the Stars, and no team has a better sack/interception rate than Philly. Quarterback Case Cookus has been the best backup/secondary quarterback to take over as a starter due to Bryan Scott’s season-ending injury. Another important thing to remember is the playoffs take place in Canton, Ohio. The Stallions have benefitted from every game happening in Birmingham and will finally have to travel away from their home fans. The Stars (and more importantly, The Blob) deserve better odds.
Risk: 1 unit at BetMGM to win 4.5 units.
Michigan Panthers vs. Pittsburgh Maulers Under 42.5 Points (-110 FanDuel)
As I tell my kids, swearing is a no-no, these offenses are a boo-boo. The Maulers remained competitive against the Stars last week because of multiple trick plays, and still only scored 16 points. Both teams are devoid of consistency on offense, but the Panthers are expected to get back running back Reggie Corbin (hand), and his ability to shed tackles and punish defenses will help the Panthers stay on offense a little longer.
Risk: 1.1 units at FanDuel to win 1 unit.
New Orleans Breakers vs. Houston Gamblers Under 41.5 Points (-110 FanDuel)
The Breakers are normally an offense to target despite Kyle Sloter’s issues, but he is trending towards not playing Week 10 because of injury (knee). That means either Zach Smith or Shea Patterson (remember him?) could start. We’ve seen Smith replace Sloter and be effective in small spurts, but even after practicing all week (shoulder), there is no guarantee he is good for a full game.
After starting strong on defense, the Breakers have not been as good at getting to the quarterback. It's a good thing then that the Gamblers allow sacks on 6.06% of pass plays. Kenji Bahar played well in their upset win over Birmingham in Week 9, but it took a pristine passing game to top the Stallions. Houston’s running game was shut down last week and will need to come back to life to score this week.
This may be the worst game to watch this weekend.
Risk: 1.1 units at FanDuel to Win 1 units.
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