NFL Spread and O/U Picks: Hunter's Week 10 Best Bets

Nov 14, 2026

USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

The 2026 NFL trade deadline on November 10 featured 18 in-season deals that sharpened several contenders for the stretch run while giving rebuilding clubs valuable draft capital. The Minnesota Vikings reunited with Kirk Cousins to stabilize quarterback play and leverage their elite defense in the NFC North. The Chicago Bears landed defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons to shore up a glaring positional weakness in an otherwise stout NFC North division, and the Jacksonville Jaguars aggressively upgraded their defense by acquiring Jordan Davis, Jessie Bates III, and Davon Godchaux. The Buffalo Bills added interception leader Amani Hooker, the Kansas City Chiefs made a move for Josh Downs, and the San Francisco 49ers somehow decided to increase the average age of their already geriatric skill group by bringing in 34-year-old Keenan Allen.

Week 9 recap: 2-6 for -10.32 units. After a small winning week, my bets got taken to the woodshed. On side bets, the team I advocated for had 12 turnovers versus only 5 for the team I bet on. If you think that sounds par for the course, you'd be correct. I checked all games this year, and the sides I’ve bet on are losing the turnover battle 60-32. The average EPA lost per turnover since the start of last year is about 4.57 points. So every side bet I’ve made this year has had to overcome about 4 points of variance from the get-go. Awful.