Week 10 DraftKings & FanDuel Winning GPP Lineup Review

Nov 15, 2022
Week 10 Winning GPP Lineup Review

In this space each week, I will review the winning lineups from the DraftKings Millionaire Maker and the FanDuel Sunday Million. Analyzing top lineups can help to tease out lineup-building strategies and offer clues on how you could have landed on a similar team.

DraftKings Week 10 Millionaire Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership in DraftKings Millionaire Maker Winning Lineups, 2022
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 9.1% 14.2% 9.3% 27.1% 12.5% 11.2% 17.2% 7.9% WR 3.0% 111.5%
2 3.6% 10.4% 8.4% 21.3% 19.7% 14.4% 9.2% 6.3% WR 1.8% 95.1%
3 2.3% 16.0% 13.9% 16.9% 8.8% 5.6% 2.6% 1.4% WR 15.7% 83.2%
4 6.8% 38.0% 15.2% 15.4% 11.4% 5.7% 19.8% 6.1% RB 3.3% 121.7%
5 12.1% 14.1% 13.9% 27.0% 13.4% 7.5% 7.8% 9.6% RB 22.7% 128.1%
6 4.4% 12.7% 8.5% 14.7% 4.9% 3.2% 2.6% 2.4% WR 0.6% 54.0%
7 17.0% 46.7% 32.1% 15.4% 2.6% 2.1% 8.1% 21.4% RB 43.8% 189.2%
8 21.1% 50.9% 12.5% 27.6% 28.8% 26.4% 1.6% 7.4% WR 0.9% 177.2%
9 14.2% 40.5% 13.6% 14.9% 10.0% 8.5% 1.4% 12.2% RB 10.2% 125.5%
10 29.4% 25.8% 10.6% 20.4% 16.9% 10.3% 16.0% 2.4% WR 16.0% 147.8%
AVG 12.0% 26.9% 13.8% 20.1% 12.9% 9.5% 8.6% 7.7% 11.8% 123.3%

This week’s winning lineup had just one player with sub-10% ownership. It's only the third such winner since the beginning of 2019.

The 147.8% cumulative ownership was the third-highest for a winner and the seventh-highest of any winner since the start of 2019.

Stacks

Stacks Used in DraftKings Millionaire Maker Winning Lineups, 2022
Week Primary Stack Secondary Stack Third Stack Correlated Players
1 QB/TE RB/Opp WR WR/Opp WR 6
2 QB/WR/WR/Opp TE 4
3 QB/TE RB/Opp WR 4
4 QB/WR/WR/Opp RB/Opp WR/Opp TE 6
5 QB/WR RB/WR/TE WR/Opp WR 7
6 QB/WR/Opp RB 3
7 QB/WR/TE RB/Opp RB 5
8 QB/WR/WR RB/DEF WR/TE 7
9 QB/WR/TE/Opp WR RB/DEF 6
10 QB/Opp WR RB/Opp WR TE/Opp WR 6

This was also just the third Millionaire winner since the beginning of 2020 to play their QB unstacked, although this did have Amon-Ra on the other side.

Continuing the trend, every winner except for one this year has used some form of correlation with their tight end.

Flex

Running backs were flexed in 26% of Millionaire Maker lineups. It was the second-lowest rate of 3-RB builds in the Milly this year. Tight ends were flexed in 28% of lineups, the highest rate of the season

Top-1% lineups flexed running back 31% of the time. Since Week 4, top-1% lineups have flexed RB more than the field in every Milly.

Leverage

The obvious differentiator here was Christian Watson. We projected Tony Pollard for much lower ownership but if you thought Pollard would be popular, Watson worked as a correlation play to offset that high ownership. With Romeo Doubs out, there was opportunity for an increased role.

Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle were both in nearly 20% of lineups while Tua Tagovailoa was one of three quarterbacks with double-digit ownership, making Jeff Wilson a great leverage play.

FanDuel Week 10 Sunday Million Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership in FanDuel Sunday Million Winning Lineups, 2022
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 9.9% 17.7% 9.1% 17.4% 12.6% 6.2% 14.5% 1.2% RB 2.8% 91.4%
2 3.0% 7.9% 2.8% 9.9% 6.4% 5.9% 8.7% 0.5% WR 4.6% 49.7%
3 4.4% 15.0% 5.0% 15.6% 5.6% 4.2% 4.1% 1.9% RB 6.6% 62.4%
4 2.2% 31.2% 12.8% 11.7% 7.6% 7.6% 20.1% 3.9% RB 4.8% 101.9%
5 17.8% 17.4% 13.0% 22.7% 14.7% 0.9% 3.8% 6.3% RB 4.6% 101.2%
6 4.2% 29.8% 2.9% 13.7% 4.3% 4.0% 0.4% 0.7% WR 8.0% 68.0%
7 16.2% 25.1% 22.6% 17.5% 5.4% 4.0% 11.3% 16.0% RB 2.9% 121.0%
8 22.7% 61.6% 14.9% 25.7% 23.0% 10.3% 7.7% 14.3% RB 17.0% 197.2%
9 7.2% 31.1% 8.8% 16.0% 12.1% 4.3% 1.1% 6.4% RB 11.6% 98.6%
10 21.6% 26.0% 10.5% 24.4% 17.1% 6.3% 13.7% 5.2% RB 12.4% 137.2%
AVG 10.9% 26.3% 10.2% 17.5% 10.9% 5.4% 8.5% 5.6% 7.5% 102.9%

Yesterday's #FanDuel Sunday Million winner had no players with ownership below 5%. That has happened eight other times since Week 1 of 2019.

The 137.2% cumulative ownership was the second-highest for a winner this year.

Stacks

Stacks Used in FanDuel Sunday Million Winning Lineups, 2022
Week Primary Stack Secondary Stack Third Stack Correlated Players
1 QB/TE 2
2 QB/WR/WR/Opp TE RB/Opp WR 6
3 QB/TE RB/WR/DEF RB/WR 7
4 QB/RB/WR/TE/Opp WR RB/WR 7
5 QB/WR/WR RB/TE 5
6 QB/WR WR/TE 4
7 QB/WR/WR 3
8 RB/WR WR/Opp WR/Opp TE 5
9 QB/WR/TE RB/WR 5
10 QB/TE RB/WR 4

FanDuel tournament winners have stacked slightly lighter than DraftKings winners with an average of 4.8 correlated players in winning Sunday Million lineups compared to 5.4 for Millionaire Maker winners.

A correlated tight end has been in nine of 10 winning lineups.

Flex

For the eighth time in 10 weeks, the Sunday Million winner flexed a tight end but this was a good week for wide receiver with six of the top 10 lineups playing four receivers.

Leverage

Tony Pollard ended up on 32% of Sunday Million rosters, resulting in huge leverage for Lamb’s 32.5-point day.

With Colt McCoy starting, it made sense that the Cardinals might lean on their run game but after James Conner played 71% of snaps in his first game back from injury, it was unclear what his role would be in Week 10. He also led to a unique build with no running backs priced below $6,500 projecting for much ownership.

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