Sunday Night DFS Single Game Breakdown: Chiefs at Ravens

Sep 18, 2021

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Last week the Van Jefferson play was a great one, but overall, missing David Montgomery was a downfall to my lineups. This week we have a matchup highlighted by two of the premier quarterbacks in the league with Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes. The Ravens are looking to avoid an 0-2 start this season. Last week they could not protect Jackson. Of the 39 passing attempts, the Ravens were credited for 12 blown blocks, and they cannot afford to have that this week against a Chiefs defense that got pressure on 34% of pass attempts against the Browns.

The way you should be constructing your lineup is by telling a story, and if you look into each game, you can see a story played out. Mahomes and the passing offense have dominated the previous matchups of the Chiefs and Ravens. The perfect lineup from the 2020 Week 3 showdown on DraftKings featured five Chiefs and one Raven with Mahomes as the captain, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and Devin Duvernay as the flex plays. On FanDuel, Patrick Mahomes was the captain with Tyreek Hill, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Mecole Hardman, and Justin Tucker. The lineup construction for this matchup should be more balanced, but I could see the Chiefs defense creeping into the optimal lineups.

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More Single-Game Breakdowns: Yahoo!

Vegas Lines

Over Under: 54.5

Chiefs Implied Total: 28.75

Ravens Implied Total: 25.75

The first thing this betting line tells me is that the Chiefs offense will be the most talked-about group in my piece and that the Ravens offensively are supposed to hang around. The problem with this line is that the Ravens can't be looked at as the team in the previous seasons because they are not entirely healthy. So I expect the Chiefs to cover and keep the pressure on Lamar Jackson.