The Top DFS Stacks on FanDuel and DraftKings in Week 13
Here I’ll be diving into stacks that mainly involve the week’s highest over/unders. For starters, I’ll lead with my favorite game stack from the highest implied over/under game, followed by analyzing the next three games with the highest totals on the slate, and then a low-owned stack.
Top Stacks From Games With High Vegas Totals
Patriots (28) @ Bills (20.5) — 48.5 Over/Under
The Bills rank 11th in quarterback aFPA, which isn’t ideal, but New England is sporting the slate's second-highest implied team total (28), and Brady has historically crushed the Bills. Since 2014, he’s averaging 23.45 fantasy points per game against them. Brady leads the league with a 9.2 adjusted yards per attempt and trails only Carson Wentz in touchdown rate among quarterbacks not on IR (6.4%). Even more impressively, Brady has a an interception rate of just 0.7%, having thrown three on 408 attempts.
I like the idea of stacking Brady with Rex Burkhead over Dion Lewis because Burkhead has the ability to score in more diverse ways than Lewis. Even though Lewis is an exceptional pass-catcher, the Patriots haven’t been utilizing him in that manner very often this season—he has just 15 catches in 11 games. Since becoming more involved in the offense in Week 9, Burkhead leads the team with three red zone touchdowns and is second on the team with a 14.5 percent market share of red zone opportunities.
As one of the premier red zone threats in the league, Rob Gronkowski always makes the most sense as a stacking partner for Brady. Not to mention his splits against the Bills are just insane. Over his last seven meetings with Buffalo, Gronk has scored seven touchdowns and topped 100 receiving yards five times. The only downside to this stack is how expensive it is, but there's enough value on the slate—especially at running back—to make it work.
Saints (26) vs. Panthers (22) — 48 Over/Under
The Most Accurate Projections Since 2010