DraftKings Week 16 GPP Breakdown

Dec 22, 2016
DraftKings Week 16 GPP Breakdown

With Ezekiel Elliott, LeVeon Bell, Odell Beckham, and Antonio Brown all absent from the main slate and likely a large percentage of ownership focused on the Saints passing game, LeSean McCoy, and maybe even Todd Gurley (*shudder*), Week 16 is shaping up as an especially good week to go contrarian, especially at the volatile WR, TE, and D/ST positions. For a great discussion on how to land on contrarian plays, check out the DFS theory segment on the latest DFS MVP podcast (begins at 46:47) as well as the intro to this week's Raybon's Review.

Related: Ownership Projections for Week 16, DraftKings GPP Guidelines, The Definitive Guide to Stacking on DraftKings

QB

Blake Bortles $5,000 vs. HOU

Bortles has the best possible QB aFPA matchup and unlike the past five weeks, so do his receivers -- the Titans are also dead last in WR aFPA and 22nd in TE aFPA. Bortles threw for a season-high 337 yards and three TDs the last time these teams met. He makes a nice pivot off Matt Barkley at this price point.

Jared Goff $5,000 vs. SF

There are a lot of unknowns with Goff, a rookie QB now playing with a new head coach. What we do know is Goff is a home favorite against a 49ers defense ranked 30th in QB aFPA, has already had a three-TD game. He makes for an excellent leverage play off Todd Gurley, who will likely be in 10 times as many lineups, and can be used as a pivot off Matt Barkley, who is projected to be a lot higher owned at the same price.

Matt Barkley $5,000 vs. WAS

I expect Barkley to be the most highly owned of the min-priced QBs by far, but that doesn't necessarily make him a bad play. He's already had two 300-yard, multi-TD games in four starts and will face a Redskins defense ranked 31st in QB aFPA.

Continue reading for more of Chris Raybon's top GPP plays!

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