• Michael Pittman Jr.

  • WR
  • , Indianapolis Colts
  • 23
  • 0 lbs
  • 0' 0"
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Pittman should be penciled in as the starter opposite T.Y. Hilton, though Zach Pascal and/or Parris Campbell will have something to say about that. This is a good short-term landing spot for the talented rookie given the addition of Philip Rivers and the 9.2 vacated targets per game that are up for grabs in Indy. Pittman should see snaps, and that’s half the battle for rookie receivers hoping to make a splash in year one. The Colts also lost Eric Ebron, who had 16 touchdowns over the last two seasons. Pittman’s 6’4” frame (and 11 touchdowns as a senior) should make him a primary end zone target for Rivers. Kevin Zatloukal's WR Success Model says there's a 30% chance that Pittman has a top 36 finish in his first three seasons.

Scouting report

by Brandon Niles

IND WR Michael Pittman Jr. - 2020 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Pittman caught 101 balls for 1,275 yards and 11 touchdowns as the primary target for freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis last season. He’s huge at 6-foot-4, 223 lbs, and he ran a 4.52-second 40-yard-dash at the combine, with a 6.96-second three-cone, fourth amongst receivers. That kind of short-area agility should help him use his large frame effectively off the line at the next level, where bigger receivers often struggle if they’re slow-footed. He should slide right into the WR2 starting spot and should benefit from the addition of Philip Rivers, who has always been able to make good use of big-bodied receivers, dating all the way back to Vincent Jackson.

Fantasy Downside

While he timed well at the combine, the agility doesn’t always show up on tape, with physical corners often delaying his routes and effectively re-directing him away from space. Long-term, he has WR1 upside, but also some bust potential. Short-term, he’s likely to end up with the second-most targets among Colts wide receivers, behind T.Y. Hilton. It the Colts sniff the 639 pass attempts they had with Andrew Luck in 2018, that could be good enough for redraft numbers, but if they’re more in line with the 513 they had last season, it’ll be hard for the team to sustain multiple fantasy receivers.

2020 Bottom Line

Pittman has talent and should get some opportunity, making him a valid risk/reward proposition at his 14th-round ADP. It’s not often you can get a starter that late in the draft, and while we don’t fully know what this iteration of the Colts’ offense is going to look like, at such a low cost, he’s very much worth grabbing in case he can make an immediate splash with the snaps he’s likely to get.

2020 Strength of Schedule - IND

W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
11
@JAX
26
MIN
28
NYJ
3
@CHI
12
@CLE
25
CIN
BYE32
@DET
10
BAL
15
@TEN
16
GB
15
TEN
22
@HOU
27
@LV
22
HOU
7
@PIT
11
JAX

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats

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