Fantasy Upside
When looking for a fantasy kicker, it’s ideal to find one tied to an elite offense. In that regard, Mason Crosby fits the bill perfectly, averaging 72.3 kicking opportunities per season since 2018. In fact, among the 62 kickers over the last three years, Crosby’s 4.7 opportunities per game are 14th-most. His accuracy has remained sharp, as he’s hitting 88.3% of his field goals since 2018 – ninth-best out of 53 kickers to attempt at least 10 field goals. Crosby is still also deadly from deep; he has punched in 80.5% of his field goals from 40 or more yards away, which is also the ninth-best mark.
Fantasy Downside
The Packers’ offense is almost too efficient for Crosby’s fantasy success. His field goal attempts have steadily dropped from 37 in 2018, to 24 in 2019, to just 16 in 2020. This is due to the Packers’ hyper-efficient touchdown scoring offense, which did allow Crosby to hammer in 59-of-63 extra points last season – but XP’s only count for a third or less of an FG. This led to a finish as just the K19 in 2020 fantasy football. If the Packers stay on their tour of offensive terror in 2021, Crosby won’t get the critical mass of three-point attempts that will make him a fantasy player worth drafting.
2021 Bottom Line
Our models are fairly convinced the Packers’ offense will come down to earth, projecting Crosby as fantasy football’s K6 for this season. Crosby is one of just two top-10 projected kickers in our model going outside the 20th round by ADP currently, making him an enormous value. If you can secure him in the 22nd round or beyond, Mason Crosby presents a secure weekly point floor with tremendous upside in 2021.
