• Todd Gurley
  • RB
  • , Los Angeles Rams
  • 25
  • 222 lbs
  • 6' 1"
PtsRuYdsRuTDRecRecYds
30712511759580

Full Season Projection

  • Full Season Projection
  • Dfs Projection
  • $7900
  • 16.62
  • -
  • $7600
  • 14.48
  • -
  • $28
  • 14.48
  • -
  • $14300
  • 16.62
  • -
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Gurley played 14 games last season before having a setback with his knee. He averaged 22.5 touches for 130.8 yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game, which resulted in 24.0 points per game in half-PPR formats, far and away the highest average at his position. Unfortunately, he tweaked his knee in Week 15, sat out the last two games of the regular season, and produced mixed results in the team’s three postseason games. He had 18 touches for 118 yards and a touchdown against the Cowboys, five touches for 13 yards and a score against the Saints, and then 11 touches for 34 yards against the Patriots in the Super Bowl. C.J. Anderson out-touched Gurley 46 to 34 in the three playoff games. The Rams chose not to re-sign Anderson, which is a vote of confidence for Gurley and his knee, but they did trade up to get Darrell Henderson in the draft. HC Sean McVay reportedly thought that Henderson was the most dangerous offensive player in the draft. Gurley’s workload will be scaled back, the question is how much. He’s also likely to miss a game or two even if he remains fairly healthy. At this point, he’s worth the risk near the 2/3 turn in 12-team drafts, though risk-averse owners may want to look elsewhere.

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Scouting report

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR RB Todd Gurley - 2019 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Todd Gurley missed the last two weeks of the 2018 regular season with knee swelling, and yet still finished with the second-most fantasy points among running backs in .5 PPR scoring formats. His 0.97 fantasy points per touch was tied with Alvin Kamara for the third-best mark among all running backs with at least 200 touches, and the offensive line in front of him is one of the best in the NFL.

Fantasy Downside
Gurley split touches with C.J. Anderson to start the playoffs before ceding the majority of the running duties to Anderson in the NFC Championship and the Super Bowl. Los Angeles then spent a 3rd-round pick in the 2019 draft on running back Darrell Henderson, even after matching an offer sheet to keep Malcolm Brown, followed by Gurley's trainer confirming an "arthritic component" to his knee issues. If the Rams have decided to ease Gurley's workload significantly, it would obviously torpedo his value at ADP.

2019 Bottom Line
Gurley's 2019 value is one of the most difficult to predict among all running backs. His upside if decreased usage concerns are overblown is that of a top three running back, while his downside if his injury limits him to part-time status is that of a complete bust at his second-round ADP . He's unlikely to suit up for any of the Rams' preseason contests, so his ADP should only decrease as the offseason rolls on, especially if Henderson flashes during that time, so it may be wise to wait as long as possible to draft him.

2019 Strength of Schedule - LAR
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
7
@CAR
3
NO
21
@CLE
27
TB
22
@SEA
11
SF
25
@ATL
29
CIN
BYE5
@PIT
1
CHI
2
BAL
28
@ARI
22
SEA
10
@DAL
11
@SF
28
ARI

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats
WeekOppRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRSTDPPRSnaps%
1@OAK20108005.403391513.0020.723.759/6393.7%
2ARI1942302.213310310.3325.328.349/7268.1%
3LAC23105114.575510610.2019.624.664/7783.1%
4MIN1783004.884731618.2521.625.653/5596.4%
5@SEA2277303.50436059.0029.333.366/66100.0%
6@DEN28208207.43217058.5034.536.558/7478.4%
7@SF1563204.20423155.7526.630.636/6159.0%
8GB25114004.566811713.5025.531.570/7889.7%
9@NO1368105.23611071.8313.919.954/6090.0%
10SEA16120107.503400413.3322.025.058/6589.2%
11KC1255004.583390313.009.412.468/8085.0%
12BYE--------------
13@DET23132205.743330511.0028.531.565/6994.2%
14@CHI1128002.553300710.005.88.862/6398.4%
15PHI1248204.0010760137.6024.434.463/7682.9%
16@ARI--------------
17SF--------------
Per game18.2989.361.210.074.894.2141.430.295.799.8321.9426.1558.93/68.5086.29%
Totals25612511714.89595804819.83307.1366.1825/95986.29%