Matt Ryan, QB Atlanta Falcons

General Info

  • Height: 6' 4"
  • Weight: 220 lbs
  • DOB: 05-17-1985

Rankings

ATL Depth Chart

Most Recent News

Falcons WR Julio Jones works out with QB Matt Ryan

Monday, July 16, 2018, 7:40pm

Pro Football Talk - [Full Article]

Falcons receiver Julio Jones didn’t show up for the team’s offseason program or mandatory minicamp, but he is working with Matt Ryan at the quarterback’s passing camp. Calvin Ridley posted a photo on Snapchat of 10 players posing with Ryan after a pre-camp workout.

Fantasy Impact:

The Falcons report to training camp July 26, and it remains to be seen whether Jones will show up. His contract has three years remaining. It averages $14.25 million, only eighth-highest at the position, and pays him a $10.5 million base salary this year.

Scouting Report

Fantasy Upside
One year removed from winning league MVP and finishing as fantasy's QB2, Matt Ryan saw a regression in 2017, dropping to QB15. Everyone remembers Ryan's career-season in 2016 but few recall when the Atlanta signal-caller struggled in his first season under Kyle Shanahan, finishing the 2015 season with just 21 touchdowns and 16 interceptions.

Steve Sarkisian took a lot of heat for Atlanta's offensive performance in 2016 but a regression was bound to happen. He attempted to utilize the same offensive concepts that Shanahan used in 2016 but mostly failed. The Falcons did show improvement offensively in the second half of the season, however, and Sarkisian says he's more comfortable in year two. Assuming Julio Jones' contract dispute doesn't carry into the regular season, Ryan will once again have one of the best supporting casts in football. The team even added outstanding route runner Calvin Ridley in the first round of the draft to complement Jones, Muhammad Sanu, Devonta Freeman, Tevin Coleman, and tight end Austin Hooper. Ryan and Sark should make a better pairing in 2018 and thus, Ryan should see a bump in production from a year ago.

Fantasy Downside

Ryan and the Falcons suffered a significant regression in 2017, with the biggest problems coming in the red zone. Atlanta dropped from first in points per game at 33.8 to 15th in 2017 at 22.1. Ryan also saw his touchdown rate drop from 7.1 percent to 3.8 percent. While the players are culpable for that regression, Sarkisian was at the root of the team's red zone woes. Despite fans' pleas to get Jones the ball more inside the 20, one could argue Sark relied too heavily on passes to wide receivers. If Sarkisian doesn't improve his playcalling inside the red area, it won't matter how many weapons Ryan has around him, his fantasy production will remain tempered.

2018 Bottom Line

Ryan suffered a regression in 2016 but it's not as if his production completely fell off the map. His completion rate (64.7%) and yards per pass attempt (7.7) were in line with his career numbers. If his touchdown rate jumps back to his career norm of 4.6 percent, then he'll be well worth a selection on draft night. In fact, given his current ADP of 12.05 in 10-team leagues, Ryan is a great value pick heading into fantasy drafts this season. Much like his MVP season in 2016, he's a positive regression candidate for 2018.

2018 Strength of Schedule - ATL
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
13
@PHI
12
CAR
11
NO
24
CIN
14
@PIT
17
TB
21
NYG
BYE10
@WAS
28
@CLE
15
DAL
11
@NO
3
BAL
29
@GB
22
ARI
12
@CAR
17
@TB

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2017 Game Stats
WkOppCompAttPaYdsPaTDIntYPAYPRRuAttYdsTDFumYPCPtsSnaps%
1@CHI21303211010.7015.29311003.6717.959/59100.0%
2GB1928252109.0013.2618008.0014.958/58100.0%
3@DET2435294238.4012.251-100-1.0013.768/68100.0%
4BUF2442242125.7610.0818018.008.575/75100.0%
5BYE---------------
6MIA2435248117.0910.330000-11.957/57100.0%
7@NE2333233107.0610.133370012.3317.057/57100.0%
8@NYJ1829254208.7614.11617022.8315.966/66100.0%
9@CAR2438313218.2413.041-100-1.0018.460/60100.0%
10DAL2229215217.419.770000-14.665/65100.0%
11@SEA1927195207.2210.26312004.0017.062/62100.0%
12TB2635317109.0612.1911001.0016.864/64100.0%
13MIN1629173005.9710.8111001.007.053/53100.0%
14NO1527221138.1914.7330000.006.874/74100.0%
15@TB1731212106.8412.47329009.6715.471/71100.0%
16@NO2236288118.0013.0927003.5014.265/65100.0%
17CAR2845317107.0411.32314004.6718.172/72100.0%
Per game21.3833.06255.941.250.757.7411.972.008.9400.194.4714.2664.13/64.13100.00%
Totals342529409520127.7411.9732143034.47228.11026/1026100.00%

We are your friend's secret weapon.

  • Get 4 FREE downloads
  • Receive breaking news alerts & analysis.
  • Battle-Tested by 40,000+ fantasy football diehards since 1999.