Moore began his rookie season playing about 25% to 50% of the snaps, but once the Panthers gave him starter snaps (70%+), his production spiked to 4.2-60-.10 or 9.7 PPG in half-PPR scoring, which are low-end fantasy WR2 numbers. Since 2000, Moore was the 13th rookie receiver who posted at least 700 receiving yards at 21-years-old. The other 12 receivers saw an average per game increase of 30% in targets, a 33% increase in receptions, a 28% increase in yards and a 19% increase in touchdowns. When these increases are applied to Moore’s rookie numbers, he’s looking at a 73-catch, 1004-yard, 2.4-touchdown season as a sophomore. That’s about what he averaged in the final 10 games from a fantasy points standpoint, so he probably has some room to grow from there, especially if his touchdowns regress positively to the mean for someone getting his sort of usage. If he’s able to score 7-8 touchdowns and keep up that production, he’s looking at a midrange WR2 season.
Dec 27, 2019 · 6:49 PM EST