Thanksgiving and Week 13 NFL Player Prop Bets: Best Bets from Connor Allen

Thanksgiving week is here, and we’re keeping it rolling with two plays I feel really good about.

Before jumping in, ALL of our plans are 50 percent off this week only for our Thanksgiving sale. If you’ve been waiting to try the tools or upgrade, this is the best time. We also added full NFL results transparency so you can see the algorithm’s performance market by market. at SharpStack. NBA plays are going out from Jake, and tackle props from Noonan are humming.

These are just two of my favorite plays for Thanksgiving and are FREE. I will have most Week 13 plays as the week progresses.

Thanksgiving and Week 13 Player Prop Bets

Josh Jacobs under 61.5 rushing yards (-112 DK, CZRS 60.5, FD 58.5)

Jacobs didn’t play Sunday and now comes back on a short week, but the bigger issue is Emmanuel Wilson cutting into his workload. The staff praised Wilson heavily after last week’s explosion, and we already saw Jacobs lose snaps in Weeks 7-9 when he didn’t clear a 58 percent snap share in any of those games.

He now faces Detroit, the same matchup where he needed 19 carries to get to 66 yards in near-perfect game script. Green Bay could trail here, Wilson could push for half the touches, or Jacobs could simply remain inefficient. There are multiple paths to the under.

Play to 55.5 rushing yards.

Risk 1.12 units to win 1 unit

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Noah Fant under 1.5 receptions (FD +120, ESPN +125, WA +110)

Fant ran only 7 routes last week with Mike Gesicki back, and he has not run more than 14 routes in a single game with Gesicki fully active this year. He’s averaging just 10.8 routes in those games. Over the last two weeks, he ran 7 and 9 routes despite 45 and 39 Bengals dropbacks, resulting in one total target.

Burrow being back helps the offense overall, but does nothing for Fant’s role. With usage this thin, getting plus money on the under is very appealing. I would play this to -110.

Risk 1 unit to win 1.20

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This sheet from Dan Rivera tracks all my betting picks and those from the rest of the betting staff. Just click on the tab with my name on it for the results.

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