5 Risky Players at the Top of Fantasy Football Drafts in 2025
Risk is something we all take on when playing fake football. Most people consider the upside when making selections, but few consider a player’s potential risk, particularly at the top of draft boards.
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The following is a look at the players with the most inherent risk at their price heading into 2025. These guys shouldn’t be totally avoided on draft day, but my intent is to point out their lower range of outcomes rather than the chance to outperform ADP.
Jahmyr Gibbs, RB - Lions ( ADP: RB3, 4)
This is certainly no knock on Jahmyr Gibbs, the player, but several factors make him a risk at the top of Round 1 in 2025. First, we have a healthy David Montgomery, and when they were both on the field last season, they had an equal allocation in volume at 16.3 touches each per contest, which translated to 16.9 in half PPR scoring for Gibbs, and 15.2 for Montgomery. We have to assume some TD regression as well, considering Gibbs crossed the pylon 20 times, with eight of those coming with Monty on the shelf.
Continue reading for more on Gibbs and four additional risky picks in 2025.
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